Delphi & Scenario Planning… Taking a closer looks at the future.

ByDel Phi

This site is devoted to Scenario Planning and looking forward types of analysis. Delphi Method/Technique is a great tool for this.

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Out of Control Healthcare Costs, Delinkage may help?

ByDel Phi

We have a new blog post in IPZine about trying to control healthcare costs by taking a new twist on the linkage in BIG phara to patent protection. Check that out this article on delinkage of intellectual property protection. In 2017 we talked about scenarios that jump out at you. One that always is front-and-center is the out-of-control escalation of healthcare costs in the US, now up to 18% of GDP. In an Nov 20…

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GenAI on Earth Day

ByDel Phi

Happy Earth Day ! GenAI and I had a talk today about Earth Day… Over at our sister site on sustainability: SustainZine.com … The Earth Day 2024 posts are divided into: Overview, Part 1, and Part 2 . There’s a simple quiz on this Earth Day (Plastics). See what my fav GenAI chatbots had to say about getting to zero carbon emissions. What if GenAI were a world leader? Hmmm… The scenario planning that Earth Day…

The Future of Computers and Quantum Computing

ByBizMan

Do you know what Gordon Moore actually said? In 1965 Gordon Moore observed that if you graphed in the increase of transistors on a planar semiconductor device using semi-log paper, it would describe a straight line. This observation ultimately became known as Moore’s law. The “l” is lower case in the academic literature because the law is not some grand organizing principle that explained a series of facts. Rather it was simply an observation. Moore…

H+AI: The Genius of Crowds and AI
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H+AI: The Genius of Crowds and AI

ByDel Phi

This site has now taken a dive into AI, Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) in this case. AI Assistants are everywhere now, and proliferating. In search(ish) there is Google’s Gemini (formerly Bard); in Microsoft there’s Copilot which utilizes OpenAI’s technology. And, of course there OpenAI’s ChatGPT itself, with the open source version available to anyone who has the time and money to obtain data, pre-train, and implement their own GAI system — typically for a more…

Y2K Scenarios
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Scenario Planning when the Official View of the Future is Uncertain

ByDel Phi

What we can learn today from Y2K. Scenario Planning and Contingency Planning are needed now, more than ever.

Salt and Battery, When does Storage make Fossil Fuel Obsolete

ByDel Phi

Last week the world’s biggest Electric Vehicle (EV) battery company made a big opening splash on its IPO. CATL is a Chinese company that IPOed with a massive 44% pop on open. The company offered up only 10% of the shares in the IPO, valuing the company at more than $12B. China has limits on how much a company can IPO at (price based on PE ratio) and a 44% limit on the amount an…

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  1. “Hi, this is a comment.” from our friends at WordPress.
    Good to know that we are live and running, even though it seems to be different from the version over at: DelphiPlan.WordPress.com …

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