Category: climate change

  • Obama to Unveil Tougher Environmental Plan With His Legacy in Mind – The New York Times

    Obama to Unveil Tougher Environmental Plan With His Legacy in Mind – The New York Times:

    There’s some good and some bad about this.

    We really should have an energy policy in the country, but we don’t. And the congress should be doing that planning and guiding of long-term energy and economic development. But no.

    The video says saving on energy. That’s not true, it will cost more for energy, the massive savings will come from improved health. Coal causes huge health and environmental impacts.

    The Clean Power Plan will ultimately save about $45 billion a year, the EPA says, by both shrinking Americans’ energy use and reducing health costs for asthma, lung cancer and other illnesses caused by air pollution. The EPA estimates the rule will also cut about $85 a year from the average American’s utility bill.”  via USA News.

    Expect that the costs at the meter will be more, especially since it is so easy for the power utilities to pass them on, given a good (or bad) excuses. However, the health savings are each and every year forever. These are massive savings. Probably far greater than the $45B or so estimated.

    The switch from coal is happening already without any such effort by the EPA. Clean(er) NatGas has been over-abundant and been the main gainer over the last 8 years. Also, we flair about half of the NatGas in the USA from fracking, why not figure out how to flair it into an electric generator and wire the energy back home?

    Two secrets of coal is that about 10,000 people die each year in mining accidents, mostly coal. That’s more than die in many years from natural disasters. The really dirty little secret of coal is coal ash. It has very high levels of heavy metals and such. It appears that we have no plan as to what to do with the ash, so it sits around in every state just waiting for disaster. Much like we have not plan for Nuclear waste.

    NatGas is far better than coal, but it is still not sustainable. Since power plant planning is 50 to 100 years forward thinking, it seems that we should be doing likewise. Wind only works when the wind blows. Solar only works with the sun signs.

    It seems that if we had a plan to be sustainable eventually, we would be better able to make decisions on the actions that a rational man (or woman) would make today.

    Sadly, the coal miners and coal economies are stuck in the middle of this ugly downturn to their livelihood way of life.

    Just saying…

    ‘via Blog this’

  • New Look at Oil Reserves, Renewables and Climate Change

    New Look at Oil Reserves, Renewables and Climate Change

    There is a long term energy competition battle ahead between renewables and fossil fuels.  Just as the prices for renewable energy sources, mainly solar and wind, have fallen markedly, our irrepressable technolgy advances have enabled us to find vast new oil reserves under our feet.  Check this out to see what we have in billions of barrels:  http://www.usnews.com/news/blogs/data-mine/2014/12/04/us-oil-reserves-hit-38-year-high

    So, this likely means the prices of gasoline and home heating oil will stay low for some time and it is also likely that Congress will get around to lifting the ban on exporting oil.  Good for the consumer? Yes and very much ‘no.’  From an out-of-pocket perspective, lower costs, more disposable income.  From the standpoint of the environment, more oil means more carbon emissions for a longer period of time even considering the ongoing sustainability efforts of large companies and many cities around the world.
    It seems we have our feet planted firmly in mid-air on the dilemma of climate change, human activity causation and the profit motive.

  • WMO Warns Lima Delegates 2014 May Be Hottest Year | Climate Central

    WMO Warns Lima Delegates, 2014 … Hottest Year in History!:-( | Climate Central:

    Ouch, this is really really ugly, the data related to 2014 as the hottest year in modern history.

    Double to the angst is the melt-off of the Antarctic.

    Here’s a discussion about both.

    The period between April and September, according to NASA GISS was the hottest in 120 years. Most (?all?) of the months since April will set all time heat highs, as well.

    Fortunately an El Nino weather pattern did not develop this year or the year-end temperatures would be even higher.

    The consistent march of the oceans to higher temperature is doubly scary. It should take years, if not decades for rising temperatures to make a dent in the ocean temperatures. If the oceans are, on average 2 miles deep, it should take a long time for warming at the surface to permeate down to the depths.

    Thermal expansion is scary. A 1 degree increase in surface temperatures, on average, should eventually result in about 2 feet of rise at the ocean surface due to thermal expansion as water gets warmer. This may take many years, but the increase is “baked in” if surface temperatures stay the same (or continue rising).

    But doubly worrisome are the ice sheets in Antarctica (and Greenland and Iceland) which are ice sheets on top of land. The Arctic in the north is generally ice on top of water, so when the ice melts up there, as it is rapidly doing, it does not affect ocean levels (directly).

    A study accepted for publication in the journal Geophysical Research Letters found that the Amundsen Sea Embayment in West Antarctica is melting quickly and at an increasing rate. They found that the ice loss was equivalent to the volume of Mt Everest every 2 years.


    The accepted draft of the article is here: paper

    Too bad. After seeing some encouraging studies that suggested that there might be a bit of a hiatus to the march of global warming, some of the more recent measures are not so good.

    Ouch!:-(

    ‘via Blog this’

  • 2014 could become the hottest year on record – CBS News

    2014 could become the hottest year on record – CBS News:
    We should start to find out soon if another El Nino is coming our way. That is the weather formation in the Pacific that changes and directs the worlds weather in a BIG way.

    Apparently if El Nino forms, then this year will blast through all recorded records, and next year should be record setting as well. It offers up massive droughts in some areas and torrential rains in others.

    With several consecutive months (May through September) setting monthly records, El Nino would really push the year over the top of the heat charts.

    El Nino is a warming anomaly; La Nina, is a cooling anomaly. Check out this chart of each, showing the years when they existed as weak, moderate or strong events.  El Nino occurs every 3 to 7 years, But it seems to be happening with increased frequency.

    But at several researchers are reducing the likelihood of the Big El Nino for this year, from very likely down to maybe 58%. So maybe we might be spared of 2014-2015 as epic climate change event.

    Also look at this great graphics from NASA on temperature changes. Climate change and global warming certainly look real from here.

    Read more about El Nino at Wikipedia.
    ‘via Blog this’

  • Highlights from the new IPCC report. 10 charts.

    http://www.carbonbrief.org/blog/2014/11/the-intergovernmental-panel-on-climate-change-top-10-charts/?utm_content=bufferf5770&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer

    The new IPCC report on Climate Change. It is a little bit of a long read…
    The report spends some time on probabilities, including what “business as usual” looks. BAU gets ugly, and uglier, and ugliest.
    Starting early, not later, seems to make sense…!!!