Delphi Method

Delphi Method enables expert consensus, strategic foresight, and structured research. See examples, models, and AI-enhanced Delphi panels.

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    New Pi Book Release: Real-Time Foresight with Scenario Planning and Delphi Method Research

    ByElmer Hall

    Frame futures. Track signals. Adapt with agility.™ Scenario Planning and Delphi Method Research Dr. Elmer Hall, founder of the Strategic Business Planning Company and creator of the Perpetual Innovation™ series, has released Perpetual Innovation™: Real-Time Foresight with Delphi Method Research and Scenario Planning. Frame futures. Track signals. Adapt with agility.™ This new volume expands the Perpetual Innovation™ series’ mission of helping leaders plan, adapt, and regenerate strategy using the most current tools available, including regenerative…

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    H+AI: The Genius of Crowds and AI

    ByDel Phi

    [Update Aug 7, 2025 from the March 26, 2024 post on DelphiPlan.com, now migrated to PerpetualInnovation.org/pi-delphi/ and a new book on Scenario Planning with Delphi Research.] This site has now (March 2024) taken a dive into AI, Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) in this case. AI Assistants are everywhere now, and proliferating. In search(ish) there is Google’s Gemini (formerly Bard); in Microsoft there’s Copilot which utilizes OpenAI’s technology. And, of course there OpenAI’s ChatGPT itself, with…

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    Beyond Moore’s law, Beyond Silicone Chips

    ByBizMan

    Moore’s law may be a more general phenomenon, namely learning curve. But similar tools may come to the same conclusion. Disruptive Technologies are coming to the silicone chip world.

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    Democratization of Power

    ByDel Phi

    SustainZine (SustainZine.com) blogged about a rather cool idea on the decentralization of power (here). The idea in Nature Communications is to have buildings everywhere use their renewable power sources to generate a biofuel of some type. And the authors had the Heating Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) unit extract CO2 from the atmosphere to generate the fuel. Some of the technologies they pointed to were new-er technologies that are now (hopefully) making their way into…

  • Consensus too, outcomes and consensus

    ByDel Phi

    Consensus continues to be a big issue is designing a Delphi Study. It is more than a little helpful to figure out how the results will be presented and how consensus will be determined. Even if consensus is not really necessary, any and all Delphi studies will be looking for the level of agreement as a critical aspect of the research. Look at our prior blog article  Consensus: Let’s agree to look for agreement, not…

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    Scenarios of Stranded Assets in the Oil Patch

    ByDel Phi

    The researchers over at Strategic Business Planning Company have been contemplating scenarios that lead to the demise of oil. The first part of the scenario is beyond obvious. Oil (and coal) are non-renewable resources; they are not sustainable; burning fossil fuels will stop — eventually. It might cease ungracefully, and here are a few driving forces that suggest the cessation of oil could come sooner, not later. Stated differently, if you owned land that is…