Survival Planning: using scenarios in times of extreme uncertainty
Survival Planning process. Working through times of duress to recover stronger than before.
Beyond Moore’s law, Beyond Silicone Chips
Moore’s law may be a more general phenomenon, namely learning curve. But similar tools may come to the same conclusion. Disruptive Technologies are coming to the silicone chip world.
COVID in the US
We talked about how scenario planning would and should have help see this pandemic, and have early warning signs for continuing plans.
PREDICT a Pandemic: First Kill those Pesty Scientists
Oh My God! Trumps administration completely stopped the PREDICT program that did USAID training and response world-wide for pandemics. Since the Bird Flu of 2005 (H5N1), the US presidents (Bush II and Obama) have moved toward building a program to identify potential pandemics and to help countries (including the USA) deal with such an eventuality. Of course, the PREDICT program got to deal with several pandemic-type events including SARS, MERS, Ebola and even Zika (mosquito)….
Pandemic Scenario in Trump Transition Team, Days before Office
Okay!. So the Obama administration left the incoming Trump administration several scenarios for them to think about. No evidence as to what happened to the final report. But apparently, it showed everything that we have seen since November in China, and the first outbreaks outside of China. The result was a world-wide pandemic. Overwhelming the US with supply shortages and patent overflows. What happened to the final report? The early warning signposts? The disaster (recovery)…
Military Scenario Planning
If the military had scenarios for pandemic or climate change, why did it take so long for the US to react to the coronavirus, COVID19?