H+AI: The Genius of Crowds and AI
[Update Aug 7, 2025 from the March 26, 2024 post on DelphiPlan.com, now migrated to PerpetualInnovation.org/pi-delphi/ and a new book on Scenario Planning with Delphi Research.]
This site has now (March 2024) taken a dive into AI, Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) in this case. AI Assistants are everywhere now, and proliferating. In search(ish) there is Google’s Gemini (formerly Bard); in Microsoft there’s Copilot which utilizes OpenAI’s technology. And, of course there OpenAI’s ChatGPT itself, with the open source version available to anyone who has the time and money to obtain data, pre-train, and implement their own GAI system — typically for a more specific application like internal customer service.
📘 Scenario and Delphi Planning: Foresight Tools for Navigating Uncertainty in the Age of AI
By Elmer Hall (2025)
This August 2025 book explores modern applications of scenario thinking, expert-based planning, and rdAI tools. It includes case studies, planning templates, and guidance for integrating real-time foresight into strategy.
🔗 Buy it now on Amazon
🔗 Explore the books and resources section on PerpetualInnovation.org »
This modification of the site into AI was initiated by the new edition of the RefractiveThinker on Artificial Intelligence due out in mid-2024. In this 25th edition, Hall and Lentz in their article have taken a novel approach to publication by letting ChatGPT and Gemini write some of the article, especially the appendixes and some extensive topics (like Delphi in homelessness) that will be published here. For example, Appendix A of the article coaxed ChatGPT 4.0 to create and entire book outline that paralleled the article being written. Each chapter was then expanded to include and extended outline with reliable sources and, where relevant, links to Wikipedia articles. In this way the book outline combines the genius of AI with the genius of crowds from Wikipedia (Hall, 2013).
Readers of the article and readers of AI topics here will be able to dynamically recreate the Delphi+AI book using their own GAI and linking through to active Wikipedia articles which are continually updated. That is, in a year or two, someone might use a new version of a GIA — let’s say ChatGPT 5.5 — to recreate the book outline with the following prompt:
Q: Create a book outline on the combination of human and artificial intelligence to summarize available information on a topic or business market areas and to forecast the future. … include Delphi Method research (Real-Time Delphi) and scenario planning … also include a section on crowdsourcing using Wikipedia
Check out Appendix A by Hall & Lentz for all the prompts used. Then the user might recreate an extended version of each chapter with links to reliable sources and also to mature Wikipedia pages:
Q: Using the outline, please please create and extended outline for chapter 1 that provides links to reliable sources and also links to Wikipedia pages where appropriate.
In this way, the reader can recreate an extended outline for each chapter, or an article dynamically with a GAI that utilizes the latest available data/training and provide links to the most up-to-date general overview information on Wikipedia. Human plus Artificial Intelligence (H+AI).
Expect this to be the future of learning and of training. Create the content you need, as you need it, when you need it based on the best available H+AI.
Q: Create a book cover based on this outline, please.
The New August 2025 book on Scenario Planning and Delphi Research
The venture into using Generative AI to write a book, a AI Delphi Method Primer, was an epiphany as to the power of GenAI and leveraging it to write articles and books. And in the case of Hall & Lentz (2024) to create the environment to regenerate any or all of the book by the users. This is amazingly powerful. The use can generate what they need, when then need, using the best available GenAI and data. Wow.
This article was the insight, motivation and germination of the latest book by Hall using rdAI.
📘 Scenario and Delphi Planning: Foresight Tools for Navigating Uncertainty in the Age of AI
By Elmer Hall (2025)
This August 2025 book explores modern applications of scenario thinking, expert-based planning, and rdAI tools. It includes case studies, planning templates, and guidance for integrating real-time foresight into strategy.
🔗 Buy it now on Amazon
#ScenarioPlan #DelphiPlan #RefractiveThinker #GAI #ArtificialIntelligence #RealtimeDelphi #GeniusOfCrowds #Crowdsourcing #rdAI #RapidStrategicPlanning
