delphi method

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    New Pi Book Release: Real-Time Foresight with Scenario Planning and Delphi Method Research

    Frame futures. Track signals. Adapt with agility.™ Scenario Planning and Delphi Method Research Dr. Elmer Hall, founder of the Strategic Business Planning Company and creator of the Perpetual Innovation™ series, has released Perpetual Innovation™: Real-Time Foresight with Delphi Method Research and Scenario Planning. Frame futures. Track signals. Adapt with agility.™ This new volume expands the…

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    Delphi AI: Homelessness Research (Regenerative-AI)

    These are the prompts used to gather information about homelessness and to develop a Delphi Method study to research causes and possible interventions (locally).  This is part of our Regenerative AI project; recreate as needed, when needed, with the GenAI engines available to you at that time. (Reprinted with permission from authors at NonprofitPlan.org and…

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    H+AI: The Genius of Crowds and AI

    [Update Aug 7, 2025 from the March 26, 2024 post on DelphiPlan.com, now migrated to PerpetualInnovation.org/pi-delphi/ and a new book on Scenario Planning with Delphi Research.] This site has now (March 2024) taken a dive into AI, Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) in this case. AI Assistants are everywhere now, and proliferating. In search(ish) there is…

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    Consensus: Let’s agree to look for agreement, not consensus

    Most of the hunters (academic researchers) searching for consensus in their Delphi research, are new to the sport. They believe that they must bag really big game or come home empty handed. But we don’t agree. In fact, once you have had a chance to experience Delphi hunting once or twice, your perception of the…

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    Making sure the IRS Preparers are Prepared… Backcasting & Learning Theory

    Dr Dave Schrader recently (December 2016) completed a very cool dissertation pertaining to the IRS and their (in)ability to assess tax preparers’ competency, and their (in)ability to test the preparers’ preparedness. {Sure, that’s easy for you to say!} Over that last few years, the IRS has been charged with determining Tax Preparers’ competency. (Not the…

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    Delphi in the DoD Procurement Team (IPT) process

    Jordan & Hall published an article in the Defense Sector edition (2016, Edition X) of the Refractive Thinker related to augmenting the DoD procurement process with Delphi team planning (Jordan & Hall, 2016). Here is the summary. Delphi Method, or Delphi Technique, is an established method for bringing teams of informed panelists, or experts, together…