scenarios

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    Bridging the Discussion Divide with GenAI

    ByElmer Hall

    Ray had known Dana for 19 years, since their daughters learned to ride bikes in his cul-de-sac. On the last Saturday in June they stood in his driveway and agreed, without hesitation, on a single proposition: only American citizens should vote in American elections. 90 seconds later, Dana was walking to her car. What happened…

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    The Inelasticity Trap: A Live MBA Case Study in Oil Supply Shock Economics

    ByElmer Hall

    A Pi-Econ™ Article | PerpetualInnovation.org Sofia had been up since 5:30 a.m., April 15, 2026, re-reading her notes on price elasticity. She liked managerial economics — it was the class where theory finally touched the ground — but Professor Aldrich had a habit of walking in with something from the news and asking the class…

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    3Q25 GDP: Half Full, Half Empty — and Still Missing the Point

    ByElmer Hall

    If you listened only to the loudest voices after the US 3Q25 GDP release, you’d think two completely different economies were being described. On one side, there was genuine enthusiasm—bordering on celebration—over “nearly 5% GDP growth,” cited confidently and repeatedly, with little attention paid to qualifiers like nominal, inflation, or composition. On the other side,…

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    COP30 in the Amazon: A Pivotal Moment to Close the Climate Ambition Gap Amidst Global Uncertainty

    ByElmer Hall

    — Article 1 of 2: The COP30 Essentials & The Ambition Gap — The 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30), currently underway in the Brazilian Amazon, represents a critical juncture in the global climate fight. Hosted by a nation intrinsically linked to the planet’s most vital carbon sink, the summit has been framed as the…

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    Elias’s Future Farm: Building a Sustainable Legacy for 100 Years and Beyond

    BySustainMe

    From Choices to Legacy: the Future Sustainable Farm Elias, the Ohio farmer we met in recent scenario planning case studies, faces choices that mirror the world’s energy dilemmas: drilling for oil and gas, planting corn for ethanol, building solar and wind farms, or adopting regenerative agriculture. Each path offers rewards and risks, but as Elias…

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    The Farmer’s Choice: Shell-Inspired Scenarios for a Carbon-Negative Future (1/2)

    BySustainMe

    The Farmer’s Dilemma Elias, a farmer in eastern Ohio, stands at the edge of his fields with competing futures before him. Is there a carbon-negative future ahead? His corn stretches toward the horizon, but beneath the soil lie the Utica and Marcellus Shale formations, some of the richest fossil reserves in North America. He could…