Author: SustainMe

  • Orlando Utility Commission Whacks Solar Customers, and Slaps Ratepayers

     PeakSHIFT?
    More Like Peak … Well, You Know

    The
    Orlando Utilities Commission (OUC) must have been feeling bold when it approved
    the PeakSHIFT program – a set of rules that, despite its lofty goals of
    modernization, reliability, and sustainability, looks like a direct slap in the
    face to Florida’s rooftop solar customers and their neighbors. Yes, you read
    that right: neighbors.

    Let’s
    start with the hilariously skewed math of rooftop solar. When a homeowner with
    solar panels produces more power than they use, that clean, sunshine-born
    electricity flows directly to the next available need – typically the
    neighbor’s house. What does the neighbor pay for that energy? The full retail
    rate, of course, at about $0.11 per kilowatt-hour. Sounds fair, right? But
    here’s the kicker: the homeowner who provided that power is only paid back
    $0.04 per kilowatt-hour, the so-called “production cost” rate.

    Essentially,
    rooftop solar owners are subsidizing their neighbors while OUC pockets the
    difference. Sweet deal – for the utility.

    The Problem with
    PeakSHIFT

    The
    newly minted PeakSHIFT program has three “innovative” pricing designs:

    1. TruNet Solar: Starting in
      2025, new rooftop solar customers will get reduced export credits. So, if
      you’ve been dreaming of solar, congratulations – you can now save even
      less!
    2. DemandLevel: This adds
      fixed charges based on peak usage because nothing says “save energy” like
      penalizing you for using your AC during a Florida summer. (This could
      apply to all customers.)
    3. Shift &
      Save
      :
      Encourages off-peak energy use. A great idea if we’re all willing to sleep
      through the sweltering midday heat and do laundry at 3 a.m.

    But here’s the rub: Florida’s power
    demand spikes during the day – when rooftop solar is producing at its peak.
    That’s when utilities would otherwise have to rely on “peaker-power,” which
    costs a fortune compared to base load power. Rooftop solar dramatically reduces
    this need, saving everyone money. Yet somehow, instead of rewarding these solar
    heroes, OUC’s PeakSHIFT feels more like a punishment.

    And let’s not ignore the
    four-letter word some people use to describe PeakSHIFT. It might rhyme with a
    certain expletive – and it’s not hard to see why.

    Who Really
    Benefits from PeakSHIFT?

    Spoiler alert: It’s not the
    environment, the solar industry, or Florida homeowners. The real winners are
    the utilities, which get to maintain control over energy production while
    sidelining rooftop solar. Solar installers are left scratching their heads as
    they try to sell systems with an extended payback period, and homeowners are
    discouraged from investing in clean energy because the financial incentives are
    dwindling faster than an ice cube in July.

    It gets even better (worse). By
    imposing these new rules, OUC effectively shifts the burden of expensive peak
    power production back onto the grid, conveniently ignoring how much rooftop
    solar offsets those costs. Meanwhile, solar customers are asked to play ball in
    a rigged game.

    The Double
    Standard

    Here’s the irony: utilities rely on
    daytime solar power to avoid firing up costly peaker plants, but they still
    charge full retail rates to neighbors using that power. It’s as if rooftop
    solar customers are running a lemonade stand, only to have the utility swipe
    the lemonade and sell it to someone else at triple the price.

    This is not just bad policy – it’s
    comically transparent profiteering disguised as a modernization effort.

    The Incentives Are
    Broken – And They’re Breaking Us

    Florida’s power
    companies operate within a system that rewards them for building, not
    innovating. Utilities are effectively paid based on the size of their
    investments and assets under management. The bigger their portfolio, the more
    profit they rake in – above and beyond the actual cost of those investments.
    And guess who foots the bill? That’s right: every ratepayer.

    A prime example is
    the introduction of Demand-Level Pricing, a concept historically applied
    to large commercial entities with significant and erratic peak power usage. Applying
    this to homeowners, particularly those with rooftop solar, creates an
    unnecessary and confusing layer of cost management. This system essentially
    forces homeowners to absorb the utility’s grid balancing burden by either
    limiting their usage during peak times or investing in expensive battery
    systems to smooth out their power draw. In essence, new solar customers are
    expected to perform “power leveling” on behalf of the utility, ensuring grid
    stability while being charged for the privilege.

    Ironically, OUC
    might even expand demand pricing to all customers, effectively ensuring that
    all the solar power produced during the day – when demands are highest – is
    supplied to the microgrid for free. Meanwhile, OUC could still charge customers
    peak rates for that very same energy, making rooftop solar power a direct
    subsidy to the utility’s profits.

    This warped
    incentive structure drives utilities to clear vast tracts of land – 500 acres
    or more – to build massive solar power plants, rather than using existing
    impervious surfaces like rooftops or parking lots. These utility-scale projects
    qualify for the same 30% tax credit and depreciation tax shields as rooftop
    solar, but they also allow the utilities to pad their bottom line with even
    more capital investments. It’s a sweetheart deal, where utilities make money
    twice: first on the tax incentives, and then on the guaranteed returns from
    their growing asset base.

    Meanwhile,
    taxpayers and ratepayers are left footing the bill for this inefficiency. The
    Florida Public Service Commission and municipal utility commissions, like OUC,
    often seem more aligned with protecting the profits of local monopoly power
    companies than with serving the public interest. This isn’t surprising when you
    consider that many regulators have held – or hope to hold – cushy jobs with the
    very monopolies they’re supposed to oversee. It’s a cozy arrangement for the
    utilities, but it leaves Florida homeowners, small businesses, and the
    environment paying the price.

    And, if you think this Goofy Power SH**T is only
    happening in the Magic City of Orlando, think again. It is happening in
    California, Luisiana, Florida, and cities everywhere like NYC and throughout
    Texas.

    A Message to OUC

    Dear OUC, we see what you’re doing.
    And, we have to admit, the boldness is almost admirable. But please don’t
    pretend that PeakSHIFT is about sustainability or fairness. If it were, you’d
    be paying solar customers the same rate you charge their neighbors. You’d also
    acknowledge that rooftop solar is not the enemy but a partner in reducing peak
    energy demand and combating climate change.

    Instead, you’ve delivered a program
    that penalizes those trying to do the right thing while protecting outdated
    utility profit structures. Bravo.

    The Takeaway

    The
    PeakSHIFT program is a masterclass in how not to encourage clean energy
    adoption. By undervaluing solar production, overcomplicating pricing, and
    alienating potential customers, OUC has turned what could have been a
    forward-thinking policy into a punchline. The only thing they are modernizing
    is their PR spin, and what a whirlpool of miss-information it is.

    Florida
    deserves energy policies that reward innovation and collaboration, not
    confusion and disincentives. Maybe next time, OUC can aim for solutions that
    genuinely reflect the spirit of modernization – not just a power grab and
    siphoning off rooftop solar profits.

    By Elmer Hall (2024, Dec. 12) with
    assistance of ChatGPT 4o, Perplexity.ai, Gemini Advanced and DALL-E for
    graphics.

    #RooftopSolar #RenewableEnergy
    #RE100 #Solar #REInvestmentTaxCredit #SustainZine #PerpectualInnovation #SBPlan
    #OUC #PeakSHIFT #NetMetering

    #GenAI #rdAI

    By
    Elmer Hall (2024, Dec. 12) with assistance of Perplexity.ai, ChatGPT 4o and
    Gemini Advanced. Abstract surrealistic artwork inspired by Salvador Dalí’s
    style, depicting the transformation of rooftop solar adoption over time in the
    central Florida sun. DALL-E (2024, Dec. 12) with prompts by Elmer Hall.

    Elmer Hall, DIBA, is President of Strategic
    Business Planning Company
    .  SBP develops plans that every organization
    needs(tm): startups, nonprofit, sustainability, and patent commercialization.
     Dr. Hall has published several books and has been a professor of business
    (DM, DBA & MBA) and Management Information Systems (MIS). With his latest Perpetual
    Innovation™
    books on Rapid Strategic Planning he is using Regenerative
    Dynamic AI
    (rdAI) and the motto: Plan Fast, Act Smart, Make a
    Difference!™

  • Solar with Batteries vs. Generator: A Cost-Benefit Analysis

    In
    the realm of backup power solutions, homeowners and businesses often find
    themselves choosing between traditional generators and modern solar systems
    with battery backup. While both options provide energy security during outages,
    their long-term costs and benefits differ significantly. In this case we are looking at a larger, whole-home sized generator and comparing it to a solar system that produces as much or more power. See table below for comparison of costs, savings and benefits.

    Sunk Cost vs Investment

    Note that the
    generator is a sunk cost, basically designed as insurance for power outages. It
    can avoid food loss from refrigerators/ freezers, operate emergency appliances,
    and maintain comfort. The best situation is if the power never goes out, and
    the generator is never used (except for required maintenance).

    The solar+battery
    investment assumes Net Metering with the power company. All the power produced
    is used directly or transferred out to the power grid. The savings, in this
    case, is $150 per month of locally produced solar power making this an
    excellent investment for a homeowner (especially with the 30% Federal renewable
    energy tax credit). It is a crazy profitable investment for a business because
    they also get the benefits of depreciation which reduces their income (and
    therefore provides a tax “shield”).

    Oh, and
    solar+battery provides an uninterruptible battery backup solution for outages.
    Think of the UPS that you hook computers and sensitive equipment to in the
    office.

    Initial Investment

    A typical
    whole-home generator costs around $20,000 installed, offering immediate
    backup power during outages

    In contrast, a
    solar system with battery backup may require a higher initial investment of
    about $35,000, before tax benefits.

    However, this
    upfront cost difference doesn’t tell the whole story.

    Long-Term Financial Impact

    Generator Costs

    Over a 20-year
    lifespan, a whole-home generator’s total cost, including fuel and maintenance, can reach
    approximately $32,138 in net present value

    This calculation
    factors in weekly test runs, monthly usage for backup, and annual maintenance
    costs.

    Solar System Benefits

    A solar system
    with battery backup, while more expensive initially, offers significant
    long-term savings:

    • Electricity
      Bill Reduction
      :
      The system can potentially save $1,800 annually in electricity costs, with
      savings increasing as energy prices rise
    • Tax
      Incentives
      :
      A 30% federal investment tax credit substantially reduces the initial cost
    • Return
      on Investment
      :
      Over 25 years, the system could generate a total savings of $66,821,
      resulting in a 172.74% ROI

    Business Advantages

    For businesses,
    particularly incorporated farms, the financial benefits of solar are even more
    pronounced:

    • Accelerated
      Depreciation
      :
      Using Section 179 depreciation, businesses can deduct 85% of the system’s
      cost in the first year
    • Enhanced
      ROI
      :
      With tax benefits, the effective cost drops to $16,170, boosting the ROI
      to an impressive 313.24% over 25 years

    Environmental Impact

    Solar systems
    offer the added benefit of reducing carbon footprint, aligning with growing
    environmental concerns and potentially improving corporate image.

    Conclusion

    While generators
    provide reliable backup power with a lower initial cost, solar systems with
    battery backup offer superior long-term financial benefits and environmental
    advantages. For homeowners, the choice may depend on immediate budget
    constraints versus long-term savings. For businesses, especially those able to
    leverage tax benefits, solar presents a compelling financial case, combining
    energy independence with significant cost savings over time.


     Comparison of Major Factors in Whole Home Generator vs Solar+Battery

    Factor

    Whole-Home
    Generator

    Solar System
    w/Battery Backup

    Initial Cost

    $20,000
    installed

    $35,000
    installed

    Net Cost After
    Incentives

    $20,000

    $24,500
    (homeowner*),
    $16,170 (business)

    Lifespan

    20 years

    25 years

    Net Present
    Value (NPV)

    -$32,138

    +$42,321
    (homeowner*),
    +$50,651 (business)

    Return on Investment
    (ROI)

    N/A (cost only)

    172.74%
    (homeowner*),
    313.24% (business)

    Annual Operating
    Costs

    $974 (fuel +
    maintenance)

    Minimal

    Energy Bill
    Savings

    None

    $1,800 in first
    year, increases yearly

    Payback Period

    N/A

    ~11-12 years
    (homeowner*),
    ~9 years (business)

    Environmental
    Impact

    Produces
    emissions

    Clean energy,
    reduces carbon footprint

    Maintenance
    Requirements

    Regular
    maintenance needed

    Minimal
    maintenance

    Fuel Dependent

    Relies on
    natural gas or propane

    No fuel required

    Tax Incentives

    None

    30% federal tax
    credit, depreciation benefits for businesses

    Power
    Availability

    Daily energy
    production with backup capacity

    Daily energy
    production with backup capacity

    Scalability

    Limited

    Expandable (add
    panels or batteries)

    Lag-time when
    power drops

    Almost
    instantaneous

    Several seconds,
    up to 30 seconds

    * There is a 30% tax refund
    or “rebated” for most nonprofits. Nonprofits would generally have the same
    advantages and ROI as the homeowner. See IRS.gov for qualifying orgs.


  • Monarch & The Milk Weed … to plant, or not to plant?

    There is a pesty parasite that is killing the monarchs in all stages of their life cycle. The parasite is called OE for short. It appears that with a warming climate, the monarchs don’t migrate and the non-native milkweed doesn’t die back in the winter, especially in Florida. This seems to perpetuate the life cycle of OE and negatively impact the monarchs. 

    Here are the recommendations from FNPS based on the best available science as to what to do. Mainly, rip out all of the non-native (Tropical) Milkweed, and only propagate native varietals. 

    https://fnpsblog.blogspot.com/2024/05/florida-native-plant-society-position.html 

    Florida Native Plant Society (FNPS)

  • Global Weirding for a Hot n Heating Planet

    Global Weirding for a Hot n Heating Planet

     

    Global Weirding for a Hot n Heating Planet

    Q: Write an article that addresses these questions/topics…
    What do you call it when the hottest day recorded in centuries is exceeded by…
    the hottest day. When many months each year meet or exceed the hottest month in
    human history? When was a month of lower than “average” temperatures,
    and what do you call it when the extremes, planet-wide, are only on the hot
    side?

    Gemini Advanced (2024, July)

    Earth’s Fever Spike: Redefining ‘Normal’ in a Warming
    World

    In a stark reminder of the accelerating climate crisis,
    Earth has recently experienced a series of alarming temperature records.

    The hottest day in recorded history has been surpassed
    multiple times within a matter of weeks. Months once considered exceptionally
    hot are now commonplace, raising questions about what constitutes
    “normal” in a rapidly changing climate.  

    A New Era of Extremes

    Scientists are grappling with terminology to describe these
    unprecedented events. The phenomenon of the hottest day being repeatedly broken
    has been dubbed a “fever spike” by some, reflecting the planet’s
    escalating temperature. The frequency with which monthly averages meet or
    exceed the hottest month in recorded history is indicative of a fundamental
    shift in climate patterns.

    The Vanishing ‘Normal’

    Historically, global temperatures have fluctuated within a
    relatively predictable range, with periods of warmer and cooler months
    balancing out over time. However, recent trends have shattered this balance.
    The concept of a “normal” temperature range is becoming increasingly
    obsolete as extremes on the hot side become the norm.

    The term “climate weirding” has emerged to
    describe this unsettling trend, encompassing not only record-breaking heat but
    also other unusual weather events, such as extreme rainfall, prolonged
    droughts, and intensifying storms. These anomalies are attributed to the
    accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, primarily from human
    activities like burning fossil fuels and deforestation.  

    The Implications

    The implications of these escalating temperatures are
    profound and far-reaching. Rising sea levels threaten coastal communities,
    while droughts and floods disrupt agriculture and jeopardize food security.
    Heatwaves pose serious health risks, particularly for vulnerable populations,
    and ecosystems struggle to adapt to the rapid pace of change.  

    A Call for
    Action

    Scientists and
    climate activists are sounding the alarm, emphasizing the urgent need for
    drastic action to curb greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the worst impacts
    of climate change. The transition to renewable energy sources, sustainable land
    management practices, and international cooperation are essential components of
    a comprehensive climate action plan.   

    Q: What are the
    10 most distinct symptoms of global warming over the last 10-20 years. Bullet
    items please.

    Gemini
    Advanced
    (2024, July)

    10 Distinct
    Symptoms of Global Warming over the Last 10-20 Years:

    • Rising global average temperatures: The
      planet’s average temperature has been steadily increasing, with the last
      decade being the hottest on record.
    • More frequent and intense heat waves:
      Heatwaves are becoming more common and lasting longer, leading to health
      risks and stress on ecosystems.
    • Melting glaciers and polar ice caps: The loss
      of ice is contributing to rising sea levels and disrupting habitats for
      Arctic wildlife.
    • Rising sea levels: As ice melts and warmer
      water expands, coastal communities are facing increased flooding and
      erosion.
    • Changes in precipitation patterns: Some areas
      are experiencing more intense rainfall and flooding, while others are
      facing prolonged droughts.
    • More extreme weather events: Hurricanes,
      storms, and wildfires are becoming more frequent and severe due to the
      changing climate.
    • Ocean acidification: The absorption of excess
      carbon dioxide by the oceans is making them more acidic, harming marine
      life.
    • Loss of biodiversity: Climate change is
      contributing to the extinction of species and disrupting ecosystems around
      the world.
    • Shifts in plant and animal ranges: As
      temperatures change, species are forced to migrate to find suitable
      habitats, impacting food chains and ecosystems.
    • Increased risk of wildfires: Warmer
      temperatures and droughts create ideal conditions for wildfires to start
      and spread rapidly.

     

    ·How
    scientists are sounding the alarm on climate change – Earth Day   

    ·        
    www.earthday.org  
    The Earth’s escalating
    temperature is a stark reminder that we are living in a time of unprecedented
    climate change. The terminology used to describe these events may evolve, but
    the underlying message remains clear: Urgent action is needed to safeguard the
    planet’s future.

    Sources and
    related content

    ·        
    trygreenforall.com

    ·        
    trygreenforall.com

    ·        
    Global temperature record streak continues, as
    climate change makes heatwaves more extreme – World Meteorological Organization
    WMO

    ·        
    wmo.int

    ·        
    Earth just experienced its hottest day ever
    recorded

    ·        

    ·        
    www.earth.com

    ·        
    Climate Change-induced Sea-Level Rise Direct
    Threat to Millions around World, Secretary-General Tells Security Council

    ·        
    press.un.org

    ·        
    How scientists are sounding the alarm on climate
    change – Earth Day

    ·        
    www.earthday.org

     

    #GlobalWarming #ClimateChange #RecordHot #ExtremeHeat #GenAI #GenerativeAI #RegenerativeAI

     

  • Are Missing Love Bugs a Warning Sign?

    Are Missing Love Bugs a Warning Sign?

    Missing Love Bugs in Florida. E. Hall (2024, May)
    with (very) little help from DALL-E (OpenAI).

    As we go into Love Bug season in May,
    seeing no lovebugs may leave us all
    with mixed emotions:
    happiness and dismay! 

    [There have been some lovebug sightings, but not many… Let’s see how the season goes.]

    This is one of our GenAI assisted articles using an approach we call Regenerative Dynamic AI. (You can redo with your favorite GenAI at any time and link through to dynamically updated sources like Wikipedia: Lovebugs.) MS Copilot (2024, April) was used in this article because we wanted to more current Internet information.

    You: What happened to the lovebugs in Florida?

    [There have been some lovebug sightings, but not many… Let’s see how the
    season goes.]

    This is one of our GenAI assisted articles. MS Copilot (2024, April) was
    used in this article.

    You: What happened to the lovebugs in Florida?

    University of Florida entomologist
    Norman Leppla
     has noticed the lack of lovebugs around the UF campus in
    Gainesville as well. However, the exact cause remains a bit mysterious.
    Lovebugs are quite sensitive to moisture and temperature, which
    makes their population dynamics closely tied to climate and weather conditions.
    Florida has experienced increasingly warmer temperatures, including one of its
    hottest summers on record. Lovebug larvae live on top of the soil, and extreme
    weather conditions could either “cook or drown” them.

    While there’s no direct link between the weather and the
    decline in lovebugs, several factors could be at play, including pollution,
    climate change, predators, or parasites. These little bugs might not be native
    to Florida, but any change in their behavior could signal something awry in
    nature. After all, we’re all
    interconnected, and environmental stresses affect us too
    1.

    So,
    the mystery of the disappearing lovebugs continues, leaving us with sticky
    windshields and a few unanswered questions. 🐞🚗

    Learn more 1 Weather.com 2 sun-sentinel.com

    You:  Where are
    lovebugs native to?

    You: Related to lovebugs. Are lovebugs possibly the
    “canary in the coal mine” for other animals, bugs, plants? 

    Copilot
    (2024, May)

    Lovebugs,
    scientifically known as Plecia nearctica, are fascinating creatures
    found in parts of Central
    America
     and the southeastern
    United States
    , especially along the Gulf CoastThese
    small insects are also affectionately called “honeymoon flies” or “double-headed bugs” due
    to their unique mating behavior: matured pairs remain together, even in flight,
    for several days
    12.

    Now,
    let’s explore whether lovebugs could indeed be the “canary in the coal mine”
    for other organisms:

    1.     
    Indicator
    Species
    :

    2.     
    Environmental
    Sensitivity
    :

      • Lovebugs
        are sensitive to environmental conditions, particularly moisture
        and temperature
        .
      • Their
        population dynamics closely correlate with climate and weather changes.
      • Extreme
        weather conditions (such as excessive heat or heavy rain) can impact
        their survival.
      • If
        lovebugs experience fluctuations due to environmental stressors, it could
        signal broader ecological shifts.

    3.     
    Interconnected
    Ecosystems
    :

      • Lovebugs
        interact with various components of their environment, including plants,
        soil, and other insects.
      • Changes
        in their behavior or abundance may have ripple effects on other species.
      • For
        example, if lovebugs decline significantly, it could affect pollination,
        nutrient cycling, or food webs.

    4.     
    Cautionary
    Tale
    :

      • While
        lovebugs themselves might not directly represent imminent ecological
        collapse, their decline serves as a cautionary tale.
      • It
        reminds us to pay attention to subtle changes in our environment.
      • Just
        as the canary in the coal mine warned miners of toxic gases, lovebugs
        could serve as an early warning system for broader ecological imbalances.

    In
    summary, while lovebugs alone may not be the sole indicator, their sensitivity
    and interconnectedness highlight the need for vigilance in monitoring and
    protecting our ecosystems. Let’s appreciate these little bugs as more than just
    windshield nuisances—they might be whispering messages about our environment!