Category: investment

  • OZ, by any other Name, could be a Profitable Opportunity!

    OZ, by any other Name, could be a Profitable Opportunity!

    Qualified Opportunity Zone Map for USA

    Opportunity Zones present a hidden opportunity for Real Estate (RE) investment that should be widely utilized across the US. Why not? (View Interactive HUD Map here.)

    There’s a spectacular investment tool that was associated
    with tax cuts of 2017 by the Trump administration. Along with the massive tax
    cuts, there was a non-partisan tax break to funnel private investments into
    underdeveloped communities around the nation.

    It took a couple years for the census tracts in every state
    to be identified and for the final definition of the program. There are 8,700+
    census tracts across the US that are designated as “zones”. Most people are
    surprised to find that they live in, or within a few miles, of one of these
    special tax – legal loophole – areas. There are at least two major reasons why
    these special zones have not received substantial attention and engagement: massive
    confusion related to the name, Qualified “Opportunity Zone” (QOZ); and, the
    COVID pandemic/recession.

    OZ, We’re not in Kansas Anymore, Toto.

    Using the term “Opportunity Zone” for these census tracts
    across the nation, was a horrible idea. People think of Enterprise Zones (EZs),
    Industrial Parks, Community Redevelopment Areas (CRAs) and such when they hear
    “Opportunity Zone”. Enterprise Zones are usually a specific campus or
    industrial park, so a business has to locate, or relocate there. Plus, an EZ
    usually has specific target business development such as light-industrial, or
    high-tech research. Business incubators often are located inside an EZ.  Foreign Trade Zones (FTZs) might be added to
    EZs where there is a port (or airport) of entry to enjoy special import/export
    treatment. Anyone, and everyone, who hear about Qualified Opportunity Zones for
    the first time have to disconnect their thinking from the historic use of
    “Opportunity Zones”. Essentially, we’re not in the land of OZ anymore, we’re in
    a qualified version of OZ, a Q.O.Z. Maybe a better approach would be to
    redefine a term or acronym for QOZ. It is a legal tax loophole related to
    designated census tracts; maybe calling it something a Qualified Opportunity
    Tax Area would be better. Let’s use QOZ for the qualified tax areas; and
    QOZ-Fund for the formal bank account of the qualified company that manages
    QOZ funding and reports to the IRS; and QOZ-Property for the real estate
    investments that are central to the QOZ project.

    Probably and equal put-off is that an investment in a QOZ
    goes into a “Fund”. This sounds complicated, a lot like setting up and managing
    your own mutual fund; however, it is surprisingly straight-forward.  Essentially, set up a bank account specific
    to the real estate investment within a qualified census tract; let the IRS know
    on a form (Form 8997) that money has come in from capital gains of an investor;
    and later let the IRS know that the property has been sold and that taxes are
    now payable. (Taxpayers file a Form 8949 each year illustrating how much
    capital gains tax continues to be deffered.) The investors’ capital gains taxes
    could, and should, be much lower in addition to being deferred.  The funding associated with such an investment
    is called an Opportunity Zone Fund (QOZ-Fund).

    The Opportunity
    Zone program creates a tax incentive for individuals who reinvest unrealized
    capital gains into high-impact, long-term projects in high-poverty communities
    across the country. It is based upon bipartisan legislation authored by U.S.
    Senators Cory Booker (D-NJ) and Tim Scott (R-SC). (Booker press release, Oct
    31, 2019)

    The Opportunity
    Zones provision is based on the bipartisan Investing in Opportunity Act, which
    was championed by Senators Tim Scott (R-SC) and Cory Booker (D-NJ) and
    Representatives Pat Tiberi (R-OH) and Ron Kind (D-WI), who led a regionally and
    politically diverse coalition of nearly 100 congressional cosponsors. (Economic
    Innovation Group, https://eig.org/opportunityzones/history)

    Who should consider QOZ projects?

    Answer 1: Anyone involved in real estate in or adjacent to a
    designated QOZ census tract. This, of course, includes Realtors® and mortgage
    lenders, builders, and contractors. (Illegal businesses, and “sin” businesses
    like cassinos, do not qualify.) There are the parties that are exchanging property
    in a real estate sale, of course. The seller would likely have capital gains
    from the sell of the property that could/should be invested somewhere; and a QOZ
    fund investment would allow for deferring or completely avoiding taxes on the
    capital gains. The buyer(s) might want to purchase using their own capital
    gains (from any source). Even outside parties might want to jump in and invest
    in a real estate (or development) project so that they can avoid and defer
    paying capital gains taxes.

    Answer 2: Anyone with capital gains should be interested. This
    introduction of outside parties to a real estate project within a QOZ is
    probably the biggest paradigm shift for many people. Everyone is comfortable
    with bank (debt) financing but using outside (equity) investors may be novel
    for many real estate developers. There is no reason to avoid debt (bank)
    leverage, but the change in ownership will restructure the funding from all
    sources.

    Investors: Capital Gains and Benefits of Taxes Avoided/Delayed

    The beauty of compounding is an almost magical thing. A 7%
    return on investment would double in value about every 10 years. So, a $100,000
    investment might easily grow to a $200,000. That is a reasonable investment
    growth rate for the value of real estate, even if there were no improvements or
    operating profits (like from apartments or offices). But the investment in a QOZ
    Fund would be from moneys that would otherwise be subject to capital gains taxes.
    For most investors this would be 20% or higher tax rates. So instead of
    investing the $100,000, taxes would go to the IRS leaving only about 80,000 to
    invest today. Stated differently, to make the $100,000 investment today, you
    would need $125,000 of money that was taxed at 20% capital gains. (Capital
    gains can be much higher, especially for short-term capital gains.)

    QOZs are a longer-term investment tax mechanism. If you keep
    the investment for 10 years, you pay no taxes (0% tax rate) on the “profits”
    when you sell and cash out of the investment. Wow!… And the taxable amount of
    your original investment will be reduced by approximately 10% if you keep the
    money invested for 5 years (or more). There is a deadline of December 31, 2026
    to reach the 5 year deadline; this deadline puts some pressure to complete a QOZ
    investment into a fund by the end of 2021. After 2021, the 5-year stepdown of
    10% will no longer be possible, but taxes on the original investment will still
    be deferrable until the end of 2026. (There was an additional tax break at 7
    years, but that stepdown of taxes is no longer possible because of the 2026
    deadline.)

    Eventually, you have to pay capital gains on at least part
    of the original investment, but the time that taxes are deferred is time in
    which the compounding of the investment works in your favor. This is a little
    like a traditional IRA, you invest tax-free money today, but pay taxes in 30
    years when you start to withdraw; but during that 30-year period your money
    plus the money that would have gone to the IRS for taxes has been working for
    you. Hopefully, doubling, and then doubling again.

    Map of QOZ Investment Tracts

    How do you know which areas are designated for this special
    OZ tax treatment. The Housing and Urban Development (HUD) has an interactive
    map that allows you to zoom in on a region to find the census tracts that are
    given this special investment status. See the US Map of QOZ census tracts at
    HUD: https://opportunityzones.hud.gov/resources/map

    Some listing services show properties that are in QOZs. So,
    your favorite Realtor would be able to tell you when properties you look at are
    within QOZ tax havens. QOZ status should help to bolster property values.
    Alaska has massive QOZ tracts, and all of Puerto Rico is a QOZ.

    There are several groups who gather QOZ investment
    opportunities around the nation and investors with capital gains to invest. One
    group, OpportunityDB.org, does podcast
    and provides a catalog of various QOZ projects. Many Banks and investment
    houses will assist in creating a QOZ or with finding Funds to consider for
    investing your capital gains.

    Capital Gains in the Future

    The future is uncertain. Many people find themselves locked
    into assets (stocks, real estate, etc.) because selling them would incur a huge
    tax on capital gains. Stocks that you bought in a brokerage account at $10 per
    share are now at 10 times that. Virtually all capital gains! The QOZ program is
    a mechanism to jump out of investments that are in a Capital Gains Trap.

    If you bought property for $1,000 and now it will sell for
    $50,000? Well, there is a mechanism for “like” real estate investments where
    you can move your investment (and profits) from one property to another. But
    there are lots of restrictions to this 1031 tax deferment. Plus, you now have
    your principle and profits tied up in the new real estate.

    But, if you cash out your profits this year, and know that
    you will have to pay capital gains – at least in part – in 5 years, then you
    might be worried about the capital gains rate going up under a Democrat/Biden
    Federal Government. (Capital gains would be the most likely, if any, of the
    possible tax hikes within the next 10 years.) But with an QOZ, you are taking
    out capital gains now, with the expectation of reducing tax payments in the
    future and avoid all taxes on the profits this investment generates. If you
    keep your current capital gains locked up, the lock would be even worse if/when
    capital gains rates go up in the future. Essentially, the Capital Gains Trap gets
    even bigger.

    On the tax side, if you invest in a QOZ in 2021, you should
    start to manage your cash flows for paying some taxes on your capital gains in
    5 years. Your tax forms show (much like your IRAs) how much money you have in
    tax-deferred status. Paying taxes in 5 years, is usually better than paying
    taxes today.

    Profits are a Wonderful Thing

    You should rejoice in making profits. All things equal, you
    should prefer to pay higher taxes because that means that you are making a lot
    of income (profits). In general, you should make your finance and investment
    decisions without considering taxes, and then factor in the tax implications. A
    good investment will rarely be negated by the tax adjustments; but a marginal
    investment might be swayed by tax considerations. Evaluate carefully where you
    invest to make sure the QOZ investment is a profitable venture prior to any tax
    benefits.

    You should never make financial decisions solely based on
    taxes.  Many people have much of their
    life’s savings tied up in a couple asset (classes) that are heavily subject to
    capital gains taxes. The QOZ investment mechanism is a great way to work on
    cashing out of some of the “capital-gains locked assets”.

    It is surprising how little the QOZ tax deferral program
    seems to have been utilized. Makes you wonder why?

    The IRS
    provides questions, answers
    , and a lot of confusion on the topic. Be sure
    to seek advice from professionals who have QOZ knowledge and experience (CPA, RE
    Attorney, Financial Planner, etc.) before making the leap into – and out of –
    QOZ investments.  Of course, if you are
    single, you can try to marry someone who has lost lots of money; then your
    profits might wash with their losses. What could go wrong with that strategy?

    QOZ tracts for Florida and Pennsylvania.

  • Sustainability and the Future of Self-Driving Cars and EVs

    IntellZine
    just wrote an article on how to
    Invest in the Future of Self-Driving Cars
    and EVs (
    https://www.intellzine.com/2020/12/invest-in-future-of-self-driving-cars.html).


    What’s not really covered is the
    Sustainability of EVs, self-driving cars etc. Internal combustion engines predominantly
    use fossil fuels but they can use renewable ethanol or biodiesel. Electric cars
    have the most promise because it is much easier to produce electricity from
    renewable sources like hydro, wind and solar. Plus, wind and solar have become
    the best and cheapest source of stationary electricity, even considering the impact
    of batteries.

    But one mobile power method that is
    not considered as much is hydrogen. In terms of stationary electricity, fuel
    cells can be used for emergency backup power (nearly instant on) and/or for
    continuous power. Although there are lots of ways to make hydrogen, all you
    really need is energy and water. (How to get hydrogen from Energy.Gov.)
    Currently, the most common method, by far is from NatGas or Ammonia.

    Fuel cell has interesting solutions
    to the battery problems, especially for range extension. Plus, hydrogen filling
    stations are being added along major routes, but nothing like electric charging and NatGas (see chart here). As the IntellZine article
    discussed, some of the fuel cell companies have gone up wildly over the last 6
    months, especially Plug. Plug (PLUG) built its business on fuel cell forklifts;
    a super clean and very efficient approach. Investors might be looking at the
    future markets for fuel cell and pricing for it. Or, they might simply be
    wrong.

  • Chris McKnett: The investment logic for sustainability | Talk Video | TED

    Chris McKnett: The investment logic for sustainability | Talk Video | TED:

    Chris McKnett gives a wonderful talk on investing and the idea that all investors should start looking at ESG (economic, social and governance). The economic is obvious, profits. Social is the impact to people in general, and governance is corporate social responsibility (CSR).

    Generally the research shows that there is no downside to being socially (and environmentally) sustainable. But in the long term, some of these companies that are irresponsible can be expected to lag behind.

    Chris implies that as an investor it could be (?is?) irresponsible to invest in companies that are and continue to be non-sustainable. The point is that the downside risk is dramatically increased for non-sustainable companies and those that don’t aggressively plan related to their non-sustainable ways.

    Maybe an example would be having a lumber-based business where you are chopping down the trees. A sustainable plan would be to replant at the rate of usage. At a minimum, you should find another country with too many trees, so you can get past the inevitable lumber crunch on the horizon…

    One of the beauties of this talk is that it focuses on just the financials of the sustainability issue. If big institutional investors started seriously considering the sustainability of their investors, then it would become front and center to all investments everywhere.

    The problem with non-sustainable business practices is that they always, always, have negative externalities associated with them. And we all bear the costs of their negligence.

    ‘via Blog this’

  • Making Mad Money on Sustainability Mega trends

    Check out the episode of Mad Money on September 29 (Thursday) when Cramer talks about three mega trends where you can make money. Even in the current insane marketplace.

    One it energy efficiency: Look for HON, JCI and more. All favorites of this blog. looking at big EE savings (vs EE&E planning… 🙂

    World food shorage: stocks to buy include Deer (DE) and Potash.

    Healthy food trends include: Chipoltle, Haines & Panera.

    He’s looking for decade-long trends, or longer.

    Even if you can’t do anything else about sustainability issues, you can make a little GREEN off of the mega trends.

    http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000048374