Category: Renewable Investment

  • Solar with Batteries vs. Generator: A Cost-Benefit Analysis

    In
    the realm of backup power solutions, homeowners and businesses often find
    themselves choosing between traditional generators and modern solar systems
    with battery backup. While both options provide energy security during outages,
    their long-term costs and benefits differ significantly. In this case we are looking at a larger, whole-home sized generator and comparing it to a solar system that produces as much or more power. See table below for comparison of costs, savings and benefits.

    Sunk Cost vs Investment

    Note that the
    generator is a sunk cost, basically designed as insurance for power outages. It
    can avoid food loss from refrigerators/ freezers, operate emergency appliances,
    and maintain comfort. The best situation is if the power never goes out, and
    the generator is never used (except for required maintenance).

    The solar+battery
    investment assumes Net Metering with the power company. All the power produced
    is used directly or transferred out to the power grid. The savings, in this
    case, is $150 per month of locally produced solar power making this an
    excellent investment for a homeowner (especially with the 30% Federal renewable
    energy tax credit). It is a crazy profitable investment for a business because
    they also get the benefits of depreciation which reduces their income (and
    therefore provides a tax “shield”).

    Oh, and
    solar+battery provides an uninterruptible battery backup solution for outages.
    Think of the UPS that you hook computers and sensitive equipment to in the
    office.

    Initial Investment

    A typical
    whole-home generator costs around $20,000 installed, offering immediate
    backup power during outages

    In contrast, a
    solar system with battery backup may require a higher initial investment of
    about $35,000, before tax benefits.

    However, this
    upfront cost difference doesn’t tell the whole story.

    Long-Term Financial Impact

    Generator Costs

    Over a 20-year
    lifespan, a whole-home generator’s total cost, including fuel and maintenance, can reach
    approximately $32,138 in net present value

    This calculation
    factors in weekly test runs, monthly usage for backup, and annual maintenance
    costs.

    Solar System Benefits

    A solar system
    with battery backup, while more expensive initially, offers significant
    long-term savings:

    • Electricity
      Bill Reduction
      :
      The system can potentially save $1,800 annually in electricity costs, with
      savings increasing as energy prices rise
    • Tax
      Incentives
      :
      A 30% federal investment tax credit substantially reduces the initial cost
    • Return
      on Investment
      :
      Over 25 years, the system could generate a total savings of $66,821,
      resulting in a 172.74% ROI

    Business Advantages

    For businesses,
    particularly incorporated farms, the financial benefits of solar are even more
    pronounced:

    • Accelerated
      Depreciation
      :
      Using Section 179 depreciation, businesses can deduct 85% of the system’s
      cost in the first year
    • Enhanced
      ROI
      :
      With tax benefits, the effective cost drops to $16,170, boosting the ROI
      to an impressive 313.24% over 25 years

    Environmental Impact

    Solar systems
    offer the added benefit of reducing carbon footprint, aligning with growing
    environmental concerns and potentially improving corporate image.

    Conclusion

    While generators
    provide reliable backup power with a lower initial cost, solar systems with
    battery backup offer superior long-term financial benefits and environmental
    advantages. For homeowners, the choice may depend on immediate budget
    constraints versus long-term savings. For businesses, especially those able to
    leverage tax benefits, solar presents a compelling financial case, combining
    energy independence with significant cost savings over time.


     Comparison of Major Factors in Whole Home Generator vs Solar+Battery

    Factor

    Whole-Home
    Generator

    Solar System
    w/Battery Backup

    Initial Cost

    $20,000
    installed

    $35,000
    installed

    Net Cost After
    Incentives

    $20,000

    $24,500
    (homeowner*),
    $16,170 (business)

    Lifespan

    20 years

    25 years

    Net Present
    Value (NPV)

    -$32,138

    +$42,321
    (homeowner*),
    +$50,651 (business)

    Return on Investment
    (ROI)

    N/A (cost only)

    172.74%
    (homeowner*),
    313.24% (business)

    Annual Operating
    Costs

    $974 (fuel +
    maintenance)

    Minimal

    Energy Bill
    Savings

    None

    $1,800 in first
    year, increases yearly

    Payback Period

    N/A

    ~11-12 years
    (homeowner*),
    ~9 years (business)

    Environmental
    Impact

    Produces
    emissions

    Clean energy,
    reduces carbon footprint

    Maintenance
    Requirements

    Regular
    maintenance needed

    Minimal
    maintenance

    Fuel Dependent

    Relies on
    natural gas or propane

    No fuel required

    Tax Incentives

    None

    30% federal tax
    credit, depreciation benefits for businesses

    Power
    Availability

    Daily energy
    production with backup capacity

    Daily energy
    production with backup capacity

    Scalability

    Limited

    Expandable (add
    panels or batteries)

    Lag-time when
    power drops

    Almost
    instantaneous

    Several seconds,
    up to 30 seconds

    * There is a 30% tax refund
    or “rebated” for most nonprofits. Nonprofits would generally have the same
    advantages and ROI as the homeowner. See IRS.gov for qualifying orgs.


  • Solar Prices Dropped off a Cliff and Into the Ocean

    Here’s a great article in Clean Technica by   on the falling prices of solar (PV). The cost per watt is the key measure to follow. Basically a rule of thumb is that $3 per Watt installed should be profitable, before any tax credit considerations. In 2006 the cost was $3.50 per watt for the panels. Now prices have dropped below $0.50 and would be lower if there wasn’t a trade tiff going on with China.  Even with $1 to $2 per watt installed, the prices are getting to be crazy low. The Investment Tax Credit dropped to 26% percent in 2020 and will drop to 22% in 2021, but the installed costs after tax benefits should be less than $2 per watt. That’s a crazy profitable investment, especially for businesses. (See our discussion and  Solar Calculator on the residential and business PV investments.)

    We’ve been wrong several times in the last couple years. We’ve said that the real breakthrough in the home solar system will be the battery technology. Well, that is true. But we have underestimated the cost curve drop with PV. True, it is not breakthrough technologies, it is learning curve of production and economies of scale.

    When we talk about the drop of costs in PV we still think that the amount of power that can be squeezed out of a square inch of solar exposed roof is probably not going to significantly improve for several years. Don’t delay your solar investment decision for a breakthrough.

    At this point our assessment of batteries is that the technology and the prices are converging to make batteries a better investment. Depending on your need to be always powered, batteries are probably worth waiting. Probably 3 to 5 years. Maybe design the system with batteries in mind. Maybe design the system for expansion. Expect that you will charge your electric vehicles, for example. If you have extra roof space, expect that you will power your neighbors house.

    Just a reminder, not all photovoltaic (PV) is created equal. Check the warranties and the depletion rates of your panels. 

    #Solar #RE #RenewableEnergy #RE100 #SolarInvestCalc

    SolarInvest2020 Profit Calc

  • Solar Investment is Crazy Profitable for Businesses and Good for Homeowners

    [Update. The Inflation Reduction Act 2022 has raised and extended the 30% investment tax credit to qualified investments. There are many limitations and additions. See our Blog post here. This makes all the financial discussions below much more profitable. Also, higher inflation and higher power inflation. The below Article was originally published in Summer of 2020.]
     
    SBP has done several detailed financial calculators for analyzing both residential and commercials solar projects. SustainZine has a main web page on Solar Profitability where
    we discuss examples from our Solar Profitability Calculators: https://www.sustainzine.com/p/solarinvest.html
    Here are articles – and YouTube videos – discussing
    both:
    1. Quick Take on 
      Residential Solar
      Solar
      Invest 2020: Do Good and Save Money Too
      … See the video related to
      Residential here:
      Solar Residential: Good Investment & Doing Good
    2. Full Financial AnalysisSolarInvest2020:
      Residential Solar is Good, but Commercial Solar can be Crazy Profitable!

      See the video related to Commercial/Business here:
      Solar for a Business can be Crazy Profitable: Do
      Good by Doing Well
    YouTube Video on Residential: Solar Residential: Good Investment & Doing Good https://youtu.be/p0pqg4ZeTjY
    Dr Elmer Hall talks about the doing good and making money at
    residential Solar. He discusses that subtilties of the financial analysis for a
    homeowner, and why it typically is a far better decision than a typical profit
    analysis would suggest. #SustainZine #Solar #RenewableEnergy #SBPLan
    YouTube Video on Commercial Business: Solar for a
    Business can be Crazy Profitable: Do Good by Doing Well 
    https://youtu.be/ulryBkhsKWg

    Dr Elmer Hall talks
    about the doing good and making money by a business installing Solar. He
    discusses the financial analysis for a business and why it probably is such a
    great investment. The investment for businesses has huge tax savings. Plus, the
    money to pay for power to operate the business is already committed if the
    building is used. This is Part 2: See part 1 related to Residential as well.
    #SustainZine #Solar #RenewableEnergy #SBPLan #Profitability #CrazyProfitable 

  • IntellZine: Big winners of Renewable Energy — IP and Manufacturing

    Here is a June 7 2020 post over on IntellZine, our Intellectual Property-centric bog. The blog post was about Renewable Energy patents an how much they have expanded, especially solar IP.

    Here is the Big winners of Renewable Energy: IP and Manufacturing article.

    As you look at the companies that are winners in Renewable Energy (RE) you have distinct winners (and losers, especially in the fossil fuel world). But there are entire countries that stand to win as well. Several countries have become exporters of energy, for example, when they produce more regional energy than they can use. I like the image set related to 25 areas/countries that are winners in Renewable Energy (at LoveMoney.com, The world’s greenest nations that are reaping the rewards). Here’s Love/Money’s take on China, both in terms of the technology (Intellectual Property) and the manufacturing/exporting:
    Of all patents for renewable energy issued globally, as of 2016 China has 29%. That’s more than 150,000 patents, which underlines the focus of China’s investment in the industry. So it’s not a shock that the country has been dubbed a “renewable energy superpower” in a recent report issued by the Global Commission on the Geopolitics of Energy Transformation. The report argued that, as renewables come to fossil fuels globally, new energy leaders will emerge.
    The US had only 100,000 patents (vs 150,000 for China) and Europe had 75,000 in renewables according to the Forbesanalysis in Jan 2019.  Overall, patents in renewables has made impressive progress, even though RE patents are only 1% of all patents (and other high-tech categories like computers are about 6%). Check out the great article at the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) on RenewableEnergy patents by James Nurton. More than half of the RE patents through the Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT) are in solar. Fuel Cell technology has consistently exceeded Wind in terms of patents. Fuel Cell (using hydrogen) is important because it can function as battery, battery backup, stationary power and portable power. Geothermal is trivial are of RE patent activity. When the RE “international” patents (PCTs) are registered at the national level the first three countries are: Japan, USA, and Germany.
    On the manufacturing/exporting side, China has been a huge producer of the world’s renewables (solar, wind and more). Here’s how LoveMoneysummarized Chinese production of RE:
     “China is currently the world’s largest exporter of solar panels, wind turbines, batteries and electric vehicles. The country is well-suited to wind power production, and it has an estimated potential capacity of 2,380 gigawatts. What’s more, many Chinese companies are investing in renewables.”
    Keep in mind that many things sustainable are lower tech, not higher tech. Much, if not most of sustainable solutions does not require break-through solutions. Using less energy can be very low tech (turning the lights out when out). Driving less (by telework) can be no tech. But in the cases where leading tech can be a major competitive advantage, he owners of IP will win.
    Look also at GlobalTrends in Renewable Energy Investment in 2019 by UN Environment Program and Bloomberg. Where is RE coming from? The investment from 2010 through 2019 has been $2.6T with 52% in Solar and $41% in Wind.
    And the final question: how do we get to 100% renewable energy in a reasonably short period of time?
    #RenewableEnergy #REPatents #IntellectualProperty #IntellZine #SustainZine #WIPO #Sustainability #PCT #REInvestment #Solar #Wind #RE100