Category: SolarCalc

  • Solar with Batteries vs. Generator: A Cost-Benefit Analysis

    In
    the realm of backup power solutions, homeowners and businesses often find
    themselves choosing between traditional generators and modern solar systems
    with battery backup. While both options provide energy security during outages,
    their long-term costs and benefits differ significantly. In this case we are looking at a larger, whole-home sized generator and comparing it to a solar system that produces as much or more power. See table below for comparison of costs, savings and benefits.

    Sunk Cost vs Investment

    Note that the
    generator is a sunk cost, basically designed as insurance for power outages. It
    can avoid food loss from refrigerators/ freezers, operate emergency appliances,
    and maintain comfort. The best situation is if the power never goes out, and
    the generator is never used (except for required maintenance).

    The solar+battery
    investment assumes Net Metering with the power company. All the power produced
    is used directly or transferred out to the power grid. The savings, in this
    case, is $150 per month of locally produced solar power making this an
    excellent investment for a homeowner (especially with the 30% Federal renewable
    energy tax credit). It is a crazy profitable investment for a business because
    they also get the benefits of depreciation which reduces their income (and
    therefore provides a tax “shield”).

    Oh, and
    solar+battery provides an uninterruptible battery backup solution for outages.
    Think of the UPS that you hook computers and sensitive equipment to in the
    office.

    Initial Investment

    A typical
    whole-home generator costs around $20,000 installed, offering immediate
    backup power during outages

    In contrast, a
    solar system with battery backup may require a higher initial investment of
    about $35,000, before tax benefits.

    However, this
    upfront cost difference doesn’t tell the whole story.

    Long-Term Financial Impact

    Generator Costs

    Over a 20-year
    lifespan, a whole-home generator’s total cost, including fuel and maintenance, can reach
    approximately $32,138 in net present value

    This calculation
    factors in weekly test runs, monthly usage for backup, and annual maintenance
    costs.

    Solar System Benefits

    A solar system
    with battery backup, while more expensive initially, offers significant
    long-term savings:

    • Electricity
      Bill Reduction
      :
      The system can potentially save $1,800 annually in electricity costs, with
      savings increasing as energy prices rise
    • Tax
      Incentives
      :
      A 30% federal investment tax credit substantially reduces the initial cost
    • Return
      on Investment
      :
      Over 25 years, the system could generate a total savings of $66,821,
      resulting in a 172.74% ROI

    Business Advantages

    For businesses,
    particularly incorporated farms, the financial benefits of solar are even more
    pronounced:

    • Accelerated
      Depreciation
      :
      Using Section 179 depreciation, businesses can deduct 85% of the system’s
      cost in the first year
    • Enhanced
      ROI
      :
      With tax benefits, the effective cost drops to $16,170, boosting the ROI
      to an impressive 313.24% over 25 years

    Environmental Impact

    Solar systems
    offer the added benefit of reducing carbon footprint, aligning with growing
    environmental concerns and potentially improving corporate image.

    Conclusion

    While generators
    provide reliable backup power with a lower initial cost, solar systems with
    battery backup offer superior long-term financial benefits and environmental
    advantages. For homeowners, the choice may depend on immediate budget
    constraints versus long-term savings. For businesses, especially those able to
    leverage tax benefits, solar presents a compelling financial case, combining
    energy independence with significant cost savings over time.


     Comparison of Major Factors in Whole Home Generator vs Solar+Battery

    Factor

    Whole-Home
    Generator

    Solar System
    w/Battery Backup

    Initial Cost

    $20,000
    installed

    $35,000
    installed

    Net Cost After
    Incentives

    $20,000

    $24,500
    (homeowner*),
    $16,170 (business)

    Lifespan

    20 years

    25 years

    Net Present
    Value (NPV)

    -$32,138

    +$42,321
    (homeowner*),
    +$50,651 (business)

    Return on Investment
    (ROI)

    N/A (cost only)

    172.74%
    (homeowner*),
    313.24% (business)

    Annual Operating
    Costs

    $974 (fuel +
    maintenance)

    Minimal

    Energy Bill
    Savings

    None

    $1,800 in first
    year, increases yearly

    Payback Period

    N/A

    ~11-12 years
    (homeowner*),
    ~9 years (business)

    Environmental
    Impact

    Produces
    emissions

    Clean energy,
    reduces carbon footprint

    Maintenance
    Requirements

    Regular
    maintenance needed

    Minimal
    maintenance

    Fuel Dependent

    Relies on
    natural gas or propane

    No fuel required

    Tax Incentives

    None

    30% federal tax
    credit, depreciation benefits for businesses

    Power
    Availability

    Daily energy
    production with backup capacity

    Daily energy
    production with backup capacity

    Scalability

    Limited

    Expandable (add
    panels or batteries)

    Lag-time when
    power drops

    Almost
    instantaneous

    Several seconds,
    up to 30 seconds

    * There is a 30% tax refund
    or “rebated” for most nonprofits. Nonprofits would generally have the same
    advantages and ROI as the homeowner. See IRS.gov for qualifying orgs.


  • Renewable Energy and IRA 2022

    Quick take for Inflation Reduction Act 2022

    The Inflation Reduction Act is a huge
    legislation act passed in 2022. It includes increases in taxes (mostly
    corporate related), limits to some spending (like drugs), and a lot toward
    energy efficiency and renewable energy. See the overview on Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation_Reduction_Act_of_2022

    Renewable Energy Incentives. The IRA has raised and extended the
    30% investment tax credit to qualified renewable energy investments. There are
    many limitations and additions. Look for updated blogs here and get informed
    from the IRS and Treasury. 

    The 30% ITC for 10 Years. The 30% Investment Tax Credit was being
    reduced over time. The rate had dropped to 26% but was held at 26% through the pandemic.
    Now 30% is held through 2032 before phasing down. In 2033 and 2034, the ITC
    rates will be 26% and 22% respectively. If no further legislation is passed the
    ITC would phase out after 2034.

    Certainty. These 14 years of Investment Tax
    Credit provides an amazing amount of certainty to businesses and residential
    customers as well as the whole solar manufacturing and installation complex.

    Something for Nonprofits and Governments. Note that the ITC applies to more
    than solar. It applies to qualified batteries, wind and more. One big complaint
    with the Investment Tax Credit of the past is that it only applies to residents
    and businesses that pay taxes. Nothing for low-income who pay no income tax,
    nothing for nonprofits, nothing for government. The IRA law provides for
    rebates to nonprofits and governments that install renewable energy systems. This
    is a 30% rebate. The details of this aspect of the law are still being refined
    as of November 2022, it would appear. So, check with your favorite tax advisor
    on how to apply for the rebate before jumping into the investment.

    Strategic Business Planning Company
    (and SustainZine) developed a calculator and produced blogs and videos in 2020
    related to solar for residential and commercial. That means that when you work
    through the numbers using 26% ITC, you should come up with a much more
    profitable investment. The ITC is 30% and power inflation is wicked high, maybe
    4% or 5% forecasted. The residential calculator will now work for nonprofits
    and governments at 30% rebate (not ITC)! This is a game changer. Without any tax incentives, a solar or wind installation is just a good thing to do, and an okay investment. Now it will be a good investment as well as (still) being a good thing to do for the future and for the planet.

    Sometime soon we at SBP will revisit the
    articles and calculators for the new tax laws under the IRA. For now, enjoy the
    options that are provided for us all to be much more self sufficient and reduce
    our energy bills.

    For anyone (or nonprofit) considering
    renewable energy, it is probably a good investment. For most businesses, it is
    a crazy good investment, that just got a little bit better.

     

    The US Treasury Department offers a Fact Sheet on IRA Clean
    Energy Incentives: https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/136/FactSheet-Implementing-IRA-Climate-CleanEnergy-TaxIncentives.pdf

    Here’s a pretty good overview of the law: https://www.mofo.com/resources/insights/220810-369bn-climate-deal-americas-path-to-climate-resilience

    #SustainZine #Solar #RenewableEnergy #SBPlan #IRA2022 #InflationReductionAct

  • Solar Prices Dropped off a Cliff and Into the Ocean

    Here’s a great article in Clean Technica by   on the falling prices of solar (PV). The cost per watt is the key measure to follow. Basically a rule of thumb is that $3 per Watt installed should be profitable, before any tax credit considerations. In 2006 the cost was $3.50 per watt for the panels. Now prices have dropped below $0.50 and would be lower if there wasn’t a trade tiff going on with China.  Even with $1 to $2 per watt installed, the prices are getting to be crazy low. The Investment Tax Credit dropped to 26% percent in 2020 and will drop to 22% in 2021, but the installed costs after tax benefits should be less than $2 per watt. That’s a crazy profitable investment, especially for businesses. (See our discussion and  Solar Calculator on the residential and business PV investments.)

    We’ve been wrong several times in the last couple years. We’ve said that the real breakthrough in the home solar system will be the battery technology. Well, that is true. But we have underestimated the cost curve drop with PV. True, it is not breakthrough technologies, it is learning curve of production and economies of scale.

    When we talk about the drop of costs in PV we still think that the amount of power that can be squeezed out of a square inch of solar exposed roof is probably not going to significantly improve for several years. Don’t delay your solar investment decision for a breakthrough.

    At this point our assessment of batteries is that the technology and the prices are converging to make batteries a better investment. Depending on your need to be always powered, batteries are probably worth waiting. Probably 3 to 5 years. Maybe design the system with batteries in mind. Maybe design the system for expansion. Expect that you will charge your electric vehicles, for example. If you have extra roof space, expect that you will power your neighbors house.

    Just a reminder, not all photovoltaic (PV) is created equal. Check the warranties and the depletion rates of your panels. 

    #Solar #RE #RenewableEnergy #RE100 #SolarInvestCalc

    SolarInvest2020 Profit Calc

  • Solar-Fit Radio Show: Gallagher and Hall Talk Home is Castle and Solar Fitness

    Elmer Hall on Solar-Fit Radio

    Solar-Fit Renewable Energy Radio Show. June 20, 2020, Live at 10am ET.
    Bill Gallagher, President/CEO of Solar-Fit (and world renown talk-show host) is interviewing Dr Elmer Hall (Strategic Business Planning Company). We’re talking about Perpetual Innovation(tm), Hall and Hinkelman’s book series on intellectual property (Patents) Commercialization. Then talking about about the COVID abnormal (and new-abnormal). And lastly move on to talk about renewable energy as people spend more time in their Castle (living, working, safe-distancing). What does this movement to update and improve the castle mean for Solar???…


    Listen to the archive of this show on Flagler Broadcasting: Dr Elmer Hall on Solar-Fit Rewanable Energy Show June 20 2020.



    Note that SustainZine has pages devoted to the Financial Analysis of Solar System Purchases (both Residential and Commercial). Residential is a good investment; Commercial can be crazy profitable!


    Here is a long SustainZine article from a May 2018 radio show related to Energy Efficiency and Telework.
    (Remember that the Renewable Investment Tax Credit was 30%, then dropped down to 26% in 2020 and will continue with a very rapid phase out over the next couple years.)


    #Solar-Fit #SustainZine #Solar #RenewableEnergy #EnergyEfficiency
    Here is the Solar-Fit radio show station:Solar-Fit Renewable Energy Radio Show
    (We’ll let you know as soon as this show is archived for your redo, review, renew!)
  • SolarInvest2020: Residential Quick Take on Doing Good

    Residential Solar can be a good investment. Good Savings.
     
    [UPDATE: 30% Investment Tax Credit on renewables in the IRA Act. See our Blog post here. This makes all the financial discussions below much more profitable. Also, higher inflation and higher power inflation.]
    Anyone thinking of putting solar on a residential property will obviously
    be friendly to doing a good deed for the environment, but would also like to
    understand the financial implications. There are subtleties to the analysis
    that are critical to appreciate the full benefits of setting up a solar power
    system to replace your residential utility power. We have become accustomed to
    renting power as a way of life. There’s a paradigm shift needed to appreciate
    owning your own power system and saving on a monthly power bill. Hall has a
    detailed article
    Residential Solar is
    Good, but Commercial Solar can be Crazy Profitable!
    that you will want to
    read as you think further about the financial analysis for a specific solar
    project, especially a business project. Here are the key points for a
    residential solar system.
    Profitable. Solar can be profitable for a
    homeowner to purchase, but there are additional considerations that usually
    make the decision even better than it might appear at first glance.
    Solar Investment Tax Credit (ITC). The ITC reduces
    income taxes by 26% of the system price, so you only pay 84% of the price of
    the system. This ITC goes down to zero (0%) by 2022.
    Easy Loan Option. A homeowner will usually have
    several loan options available, including using a home equity line of credit
    (HELOC) or financing affiliated with the solar company. (Lease options are also
    available from some installers, and may be a good option for a homeowner with
    lower credit and low house equity.)
    Positive Cash Flows. Household budget should be
    cash positive compared to power bills. Frequently, loan options include
    interest-only for a year until the ITC is realized (and applied to the loan).
    What would have gone to the IRS in taxes is applied to the solar system, and
    what would have gone to the power company goes to pay off the loan for the
    power system you own.
    Annual Return. The savings each year could
    easily be 7% return each year on the net investment.
    Avoid Utility Power Price Increases. If the
    power company increased rates by 1% (or 2%) a year, the real savings from the
    solar system could be 8% (or 9%).
    Sunk Operating Costs. This is not a normal
    financial analysis, so different perspective is helpful. If the residence is
    being used, then the electricity to operate it is needed. The money is already
    being committed to rent a little bit of the power plant from the utility power
    indefinitely. Or, you could buy your own power system. You could pay less in
    loan payments than what the power bill would have been and then have free power
    for decades thereafter. Committed, or sunk operating costs, is one aspect of
    the buy-solar decision that takes a little perspective adjustment to fully appreciate,
    but savings is another.

    After-tax Savings. After-tax savings is a
    beautiful thing, especially if it is recurring every month. You pay the power
    bill in after-tax dollars. So every dollar saved on your budget for electricity
    is better than a dollar increase in your salary. Consider a 30% marginal income
    tax level. (Marginal tax rate is on the next $1 of income or savings, not the average
    income which have no taxes at the lowest levels.) At 30% marginal tax rate, you
    would need $1.30 to have an extra $1 to spend on your power bill if power costs
    went up next year by $1. There are other deductions, plus your employer has expenses
    and deductions, so costs to your employer would be $1.50 or more for you to
    have an extra $1 raise for your power bill, which would leave you with the same
    discretionary income as the past year. Savings related to power is pure
    discretionary income, spend it anywhere you want… You just got a raise!
    Net Metered. The usual way to go solar on
    residential is to connect to the utility power with net metering, a measured
    meter that takes your solar power as you produce it and gives you back the
    power when you need it. If you over produce at the end of the year, the power
    company typically rebates you – but usually at a rather paltry rate – for your
    extra power. Therefore, you would typically size the system to your
    (anticipated) needs, and not much more.
    Batteries. If you want to have your own power
    when the grid is down, you will want to get batteries. Battery prices and
    technology, like the Tesla PowerWall, is really starting to hit critical mass.
    Batteries can also be eligible for the 26% investment tax credit.
    Solar System is an Asset. The basic accounting
    for a solar paid for by a loan might look like this. Buy a $30,000 solar system
    (an asset) by borrowing $30,000 on your HELOC (a loan). If you didn’t think the
    system was worth $30,000 (because of the power it produces for decades), you
    probably wouldn’t have bought it. But, you get an investment tax credit of 26%
    in 2020 so the actual system cost (after eliminated income taxes of $7,800) is
    only $22,200. You can go on vacation with the $7,800 or apply it to the loan.
    However, this is a performing asset that produces power for decades, long after
    the loan is paid.
    What if You Sell the Home? With the home
    producing its own electricity, the operating costs are reduced by the power
    savings. The money that would have gone to the power company can now easy be
    applied to the purchase price of the home (and to a mortgage). The value of the
    house goes up, typically by the net cost of the solar system or more. Even when
    the solar loan is paid off, the value to property is the ongoing power savings
    being produced (maybe 10 to 20 times the annual power savings).
    What if You Rent the House? Renting the house
    is rather simple, simply include the value of the utility power in the rent.
    The renter should have been budgeting monthly operations (as should you in
    considering a tenant), so the money for power would be shifted into rent. The
    portion of rent associated with power might be lower than what the power bill
    would have been, and electric cost from the solar system might be fixed without
    matching the price increases that would have occurred from the utility.
    Win-win.
    Environmental Savings. The environmental
    savings are tied to the utility power you are replacing. Check your energy mix
    from your favorite (only) power utility. US-wide the 2019 electric mix was
    NatGas (38.4%), Coal (23.5%), nuclear (19.7%), hydro/thermal (6.6%) and wind
    7.3%. Solar was up from 1.8% to 2.6% of electricity power by the end of 2019. Fossil
    fuels produce huge pollution and greenhouse gases. Probably as important is the
    massive amounts of water used in operating fossil fuel and nuclear power plants.
    Doing Good. Most of the people who have gone
    solar did so for altruistic reasons, they simply wanted to be kinder to the
    planet and do their part to make things better. Lucky for us now, the
    technology has gotten much better and the prices have dropped to the point that
    solar is simply a good financial decision as well. Now we can do financially well
    by doing good.

    Strategic Business Planning Company website: SBPlan.com Blog: SustainZine.com