Perpetual Innovation

Category: Scenario Planning

  • H+AI: The Genius of Crowds and AI

    H+AI: The Genius of Crowds and AI

    This site has now taken a dive into AI, Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) in this case. AI Assistants are everywhere now, and proliferating. In search(ish) there is Google’s Gemini (formerly Bard); in Microsoft there’s Copilot which utilizes OpenAI’s technology. And, of course there OpenAI’s ChatGPT itself, with the open source version available to anyone who has the time and money to obtain data, pre-train, and implement their own GAI system — typically for a more specific application like internal customer service.

    There is a new heading on DelphiPlan.com (ScenarioPlan.com) that addresses Delphi + AI, or Scenario + AI… https://delphiplan.com/delphi-ai-primer/

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  • Scenario Planning within Nonprofits

    Scenario Planning within Nonprofits

    A seminar for nonprofits included discussion of scenario planning as it pertained to the Great CIVID Pandemic. It wasn’t so much scenario planning as we use it here on ScenarioPlans.com, as best, worst, and most-likely case (but more on that later). Imagine the nonprofit, out on thin ice, as the world’s economy went into lockdown. What if all funding froze up, even the promises of commitment? What if we are over-whelmed (under-whelmed) with customer needs? What if we have to cease operations (for an indefinite time)?

    An excellent article with tools is at Bridgespan: Nonprofit Scenario Planning During a Crisis. (Image is from Bridgespan.)

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  • Scenario Planning for Nonprofits During Uncertain Times

    Scenario Planning for Nonprofits During Uncertain Times

    Our sister site www.ScenarioPlans.com talked about the importance of scenario planning for nonprofits: Scenario Planning with Nonprofits. Of course it is great to do scenario planning every few years so the plans (and contingency plans) are already developed, but most organizations don’t do formal scenario planning, at best, they do worst, best and most-likely case analysis once disaster has arrived.

    Look at the ScenarioPlans.com blog on Scenario Planning with Nonprofits.

    Useful tools at Bridgespan: Nonprofit Scenario Planning During a Crisis. (Image is from Bridgespan.) Just knowing what the worst case looks like enabled the executives to have a comfort level on how to move forward. Notice how Bridgespan a table with best case on the left. Maybe cut executive salaries by 15%. In the worst case, layoffs and cut executive salaries by 30%.

    Scenario Planning for Nonprofits should be more than worst, best and most-likely case. But no mater what you call the scenario planning tool, it is very helpful during times of uncertainty.

  • The EV Hurricane Disaster: a 1-sided scenario, part 2

    The EV Hurricane Disaster: a 1-sided scenario, part 2

    Read  The EV Hurricane Disaster: a 1-sided scenario, Part 1 on ScenarioPlans.com (also DelphiPlan.com). The EV disaster article analyzes a viral email that talks about how horrible it will be when a hurricane is storming into a population center and the electric vehicles are all stuck on the road with no possibility for charging.

    PART 2 of this discussion is from SustainZine: The EV Hurricane Disaster: a 1-sided scenario, part 2. (Repeated here for convenience.)

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  • Crypto Currency as Legal Tender in El Salvador, and more…

    It has been interesting to find people within governments trash talking crypto currency. “No way it will become mainstream.” “Doesn’t have backing of a sovereign government, so …”

    Bitcoin in El Salvador store. Official starting Sept 7 2021. (Reuters)
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