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  • Strategic Planning for Small Businesses and Non-Profits

    Every business
    needs to do planning and reporting. The trick for each organization is to do
    the right amount of planning. You can’t spend all your time planning, and you
    can’t completely avoid planning. Ideally you should work the planning process
    around the reporting and accounting that you have to do anyway: mainly tax reporting
    that culminates at the end of the tax year. The approach visualized in Figure 1
    organizes your year so you can build a corporate calendar and activity
    checklist that matches your needs.

    Even though an
    annual planning process, with a calendar and checklist, is important,
    occasionally things will happen that require instant and immediate planning.
    You might have developed contingency plans for certain possible events, like a hurricane
    disaster recovery plan, but occasionally the world will dramatically change
    around you such that you are thrown into a situation where everything – and
    even the existence of the organization – is thrown up into uncertainty. The
    COVID pandemic is such an exogenous event. All aspects of the long-term
    direction of the organization must be revisited, and the near-term approach for
    survival needs to be mapped. Survival Planning will be addressed later.

    All organizations
    have a similar process that they should execute, a process that spreads
    the planning out over the year. It is often easiest to break the major planning
    activities into four quarters. That doesn’t mean that you work all quarter on a
    specific planning activity, just make sure you do it during that quarter. For
    example, you might have a summer weekend retreat for brainstorming new products
    and services.

    Unfortunately,
    most small organizations, especially small non-profit organizations, do not take
    the time, or schedule the time, to do the most critical planning. In the worst
    case, they may miss critical deadlines (IRS filings, for example) and even jeopardize
    the continuity of the organization. Think of this as non-compliance, i.e., not
    doing the things that are required of any business or non-profit organization.

    Large companies
    use the corporate strategic planning process as a tool to continually focus on
    their goals and objectives, to understand where they are going and to engage
    employees in building the business. 
    Normally conducted on an annual basis, the process takes several months
    from initial data collection to the completion of the corporate business plan,
    annual report and budget.  With few
    exceptions, if it isn’t in the plan and the budget, it won’t get done. 

    Figure 1 depicts a general
    planning process and how the planning activities for the next year begin soon after
    the operations of the current implementation year has begun in the first
    quarter. Smaller organizations can simplify this process somewhat, but still
    should do similar activities.























    Here’s how the planning process would
    work on a quarter by quarter basis. Assume that the business operates on a calendar
    year with December being the last month of the year, and January being the
    first month of the next year.

    ·       
    Qtr 1, the implementation quarter. The 1st
    quarter of the implementation year is when all the planning and budgeting from
    last year needs to be implemented. This is a very busy time, hiring people,
    buying stuff, launching initiatives. In short, there is no time for planning
    during the implementation quarter, it is time to start executing the business
    plan approved and funded during the prior planning year that culminated in an
    approved business plan and budget.

    ·       
    Qtr 2, Spring Strategic Outlook, is a good time for
    brainstorming: to do longer-term planning and new product development. Are
    there new products or services that need development efforts in order to be
    considered this planning year for launch next year? This is a good time to do a
    Strengths-Weaknesses-Opportunities-Threats (SWOT) analysis if the environment
    has changed significantly since the last SWOT analysis. Consider a rapid planning
    and prototyping process like LEAN Canvas.

    ·       
    Qtr 3, Business Performance Assessment. After 6
    to 9 months of the year, the organization should know how things are going. Is
    everything on budget? Are changes working out? You should now be able to accurately
    estimate the full year. This is the time to develop a proposed budget for next
    year, especially for those things that are going as planned this year and
    should continue uninterrupted next year. New products or major purchases for
    next year’s budget consideration should be narrowed down and refined.

    ·       
    Qtr 4, Business Plan Development and finalized
    budget. Quarter 4 is the major planning and reporting quarter. That is when the
    best information of the year will be available. The full year numbers have to
    be organized, reports to IRS completed, employment filings completed, etc.
    Therefore, the end of the year is when the best information is available. As
    part of that process is full financial statements and a proposed budget for
    next year. The board of the organization needs to approve the budget for next
    year and the plan that goes with it. (Note that the required reporting is not
    due on the last day of the quarter, December 31 in this case, but all the past
    years numbers should be very close if not exact, so federal and state reporting
    in the first few days of the new year will be easily accomplished before
    deadlines. Consequently, some of the final stages of the planning process
    described for the 4th quarter might not be completed until the first
    few weeks of the new year.)

    ·       The next Implementation year begins with the new
    plan and budget, so a scramble ensues to implement the plan and have a successful
    new year.  

    Links and Resources

    Several
    organizations and books provide resources and checklists for people who are
    planning to launch a business. They generally don’t distinguish between a
    for-profit and a non-profit because every organization needs to do the same
    types of things: draft a business plan, accumulate startup funding, incorporate,
    etc. Each year you should revisit this checklist to see what needs to be
    updated. The planning process described in Figure 1 helps with updating the
    business plan, the goals/objectives, the past financials, and the proposed
    budget.

    Here
    are several links of startup checklists/resources and also compliance
    checklists for Non-Profits.

    ·       
    Small
    Business Administration Resources: www.SBA.gov

    ·       
    Small
    Business Administration 10-Steps to Start a Business.

    ·       
    SCORE’s
    Checklist for Non-Profit Organization
    Startup
    .

    ·       
    Indiana
    (IN.GOV) Best Practices Checklist for Non-Profits.

    ·       
    WildApricot’s
    Compliance Checklist for Non-Profits.

    ·       
    Cullenan
    Law’s Year-End Checklist. (5 categories)

    ·       
    RocketLawyer’s
    How to keep your Non-Profit in Compliance:
    a Checklist
    .

    ·       
    Wayfind’s
    startup table/checklist (long but comprehensive).

    ·       
    BoardEffect’s
    Checklist for starting a Non-Profit.

    Metrics

    All businesses need to have clear
    metrics. How do you know that you are being successful? Revenues and net profits
    are always good metrics, but you want to have more than that. For example, you have
    to get the customers before you get the increased sales. There should be a
    pipeline of customers. You can identify early if your pipeline is showing leaks
    by various types of customer satisfaction checks. For non-profits, there may
    not be “customers” but there will be key constituents; you don’t technically
    have profits and net income; however, if you still need more
    money coming in than expenses to maintain operations.

    You may want to issue a certain number
    of new products/services ever year, so you could look at the new products and
    how well they are received.

    Non-profits (NPs) have special
    challenges. Many NPs sell products and services, even if they are frequently
    discounted or subsidized compared to the full costs. They also may have donor funding,
    grants, etc. And they usually have volunteers, sometimes a massive number of
    volunteers compared to a few employees. Keeping a good accounting of the
    volunteers, volunteer hours, and approximate savings from volunteers is
    important for reporting and justification of how far you can stretch funding from
    donors and grants.

    As a Non-Profit, think about those
    factors that influence people to select and donate to a cause. Organizations
    that have high administrative expenses will have much less money to contribute
    to the actual cause. Donors (and volunteers) who are reviewing the causes that
    they will support look to see how charities are ranked and rated. People visit
    these key sites, among others, to make charitable giving decisions:

    ·       
    CharityNavigator.org.
    This site ranks charities within particular categories. This is the most
    important site for someone considering which causes to select for charitable
    giving.

    ·       
    GuideStar.org.
    This site does a deeper dive into the non-profit, reporting, officers and programs.

    ·       
    Give.org, by
    the BBB Wise Giving Alliance, provides a Better Business Bureau type of list
    for complaints about Non-Profit organizations. Use this source carefully. A
    very large national or international organization might have thousands of
    complaints but only a tiny fraction of all customers served.

    ·       
    IRS.gov
    has a searchable database of charities that qualify for charitable tax
    deductions. Since most people like the added benefit of a tax deduction from
    their charitable giving, Non-Profits must remain vigilant in maintaining
    their tax-exempt status as well as their qualifications as a charitable organization.

    ·       
    An excellent article in  Forbes
    by Nancy Andersen discusses these important online resources for someone selecting
    a charity, and therefore, critical to the non-profit charity as well.

    ·       
    Social Media, especially FaceBook and LinkedIn pages,
    for the charity will have followers, likes and even ratings that will offer
    clues as to the quality of the organization and the services provided. Many
    charities have blogs and resource pages as well.  

    We wish you the very best with your
    endeavors and hope that this brief article on planning will jump start a quick
    and efficient planning process for you and your organization.

    This article is adapted from the introduction from a 2017 book by Hall and Hinkelman on Strategic Planning and Patent
    Commercialization (the first in the Perpetual Innovation™ series). All rights reserved.
    Visit our bookstore:
    http://www.lulu.com/spotlight/SBPlan

    Based
    on the reception of this article, Hall & Hinkelman
    may develop a book
    for small businesses and non-profits in the Perpetual Innovation™ series.
     

    Hall, E. B. & Hinkelman, R. M. (2018). Perpetual Innovation™: A guide to strategic
    planning, patent commercialization and enduring competitive advantage, Version
    4.0
    . Morrisville, NC: LuLu Press. ISBN: 978-1-387-31010-4 Retrieved from: http://www.lulu.com/spotlight/SBPlan

    Hall, E. B. & Hinkelman, R. M. (2017). Perpetual Innovation™: Patent primer 4.0:
    Patents, the great equalizer of our time! An overview of intellectual property
    for inventors and entrepreneurs.
     
    Morrisville, NC: LuLu Press.  ISBN:
    978-1-387-07026-8 Retrieved from: http://www.lulu.com/spotlight/SBPlan
     [Amazon v4.0e  ASIN: B074JJCDHG Retrieved from: http://www.amazon.com/dp/B074JJCDHG

    Strategic Business Planning Company
    We Develop the Plans that Every Business Organization
    Needs

    www.SBPlan.com | www.IPplan.com
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    Planning for Sustainable Success

    Copyright © 2020 Strategic Business Planning Company

      

  • Who will beat Amazon in the New-Abnormal

    The COVID pandemic creates winners and losers. Will it simply accelerated some winners and some losers. As with any recession, it creates destructive innovation. In the sad carnage of the pandemic should lie silver linings. Telework is one. Winners are ZOOM, losers are office buildings. We’re spending some time on this concept trying to estimate how permanent this shift to remote work will be and the massive savings (time, fuel, traffic, etc.)

    But the focus of this discussion is on the Amazon effect. The death of the department stores in favor of buying online and having a shipper like Amazon deliver to your door. The Forbes article, Amazon has Finally Met its Match, by Stephen McBride got me started on this topic. Even though Amazon is BIG, you can’t call it a monopoly because anyone can do it, kinda. They are simply big, the gorilla in the room.

    How much has Amazon (AMZN) subscription services (prime, music, unlimited, etc.) increased related to the covid shutdown, how much has Amazon online purchasing increased, and what percentage of that online purchasing will dissipate once things get back to normal. Since we don’t think that things will ever go back to “normal” we refer to the post-COVID world of the future as the “new-abnormal”. Amazon has more than doubled in a year, reaching an all time high Sept 2, 2020 of $3,552 per share, a market capitalization of $1.8T. Wow!

    Amazon became famous in the Intellectual Property (IP) world with the one-click patent.Look away from your screen for just a second, and you could find that you accidentally bought the item(s) you were scanning. That patent expired in September of 2017 allowing everyone to accelerate the purchase process and reduce shopping cart abandonment. Amazon still has had more that 13,000 patents granted (many have expired) and 1,259 applications (according to Justia). That’s a pretty significant war chest.

    Walmart (WMT) was not doing a good job to compete with Amazon, so they took an extreme measure in 20016 of buying an upstart name JET that was developed from the ground up to compete with Amazon. In 2016 Walmart bought JET for $3B (more discussion here). Walmart has the unique advantage that you can return online orders to the store. An advantage for Walmart is that people who return something at the store, will likely spend that money and more before leaving. Walmart has 1,237 patents and 820 patent applications as of August 2020.

    In the August 2020 Forbes article, McBride thought that there would be several winners in the Amazon space. Etsy (ETSY) is a wonderful place for customized products, arts and crafts. Etsy and the artists who utilize their online marketplace excel in this area where Amazon cannot. 

    The last one is Shopify (SHOP) a software platform for small and medium sized companies that integrates all of their business. Businesses that have online, storefront and mobile businesses find Shopify works well to bring all the pieces of the business together. Since most small(er) companies have very little online presence, Shopify helps them jump over the intermediate stages of going online and managing all the sales’ processes. Shopify hit its all time high Sept 1, 2020 of $1,147, up from its low in November of $282. That’s more than a 300% increase! Wow!

    Shopify had zero (0) patents in 2015 and only maybe 32 today. Etsy has about 25 patents; many are interesting in the use of fuzzy logic and categorization of products. The stores that use Shopify and Etsy need to build their own intellectual property protection including trademarks, copyrights and patents.

    Who do you think will be the winners in the new-abnormal world? Big boom for AMZN, of course. But what about these Amazon competitors in the move away from brick: SHOP and ETSY? And what about the ultimate click-n-mortar: WMT?

    #Invest #Stocks #patents #ecommerce #NewAbnormal

  • Solar Prices Dropped off a Cliff and Into the Ocean

    Here’s a great article in Clean Technica by   on the falling prices of solar (PV). The cost per watt is the key measure to follow. Basically a rule of thumb is that $3 per Watt installed should be profitable, before any tax credit considerations. In 2006 the cost was $3.50 per watt for the panels. Now prices have dropped below $0.50 and would be lower if there wasn’t a trade tiff going on with China.  Even with $1 to $2 per watt installed, the prices are getting to be crazy low. The Investment Tax Credit dropped to 26% percent in 2020 and will drop to 22% in 2021, but the installed costs after tax benefits should be less than $2 per watt. That’s a crazy profitable investment, especially for businesses. (See our discussion and  Solar Calculator on the residential and business PV investments.)

    We’ve been wrong several times in the last couple years. We’ve said that the real breakthrough in the home solar system will be the battery technology. Well, that is true. But we have underestimated the cost curve drop with PV. True, it is not breakthrough technologies, it is learning curve of production and economies of scale.

    When we talk about the drop of costs in PV we still think that the amount of power that can be squeezed out of a square inch of solar exposed roof is probably not going to significantly improve for several years. Don’t delay your solar investment decision for a breakthrough.

    At this point our assessment of batteries is that the technology and the prices are converging to make batteries a better investment. Depending on your need to be always powered, batteries are probably worth waiting. Probably 3 to 5 years. Maybe design the system with batteries in mind. Maybe design the system for expansion. Expect that you will charge your electric vehicles, for example. If you have extra roof space, expect that you will power your neighbors house.

    Just a reminder, not all photovoltaic (PV) is created equal. Check the warranties and the depletion rates of your panels. 

    #Solar #RE #RenewableEnergy #RE100 #SolarInvestCalc

    SolarInvest2020 Profit Calc

  • Mysteries of Methane Leak in Florida and Not-So-Clean Fossil Fuels

    There’s a BIG NatGas leak (Methane) in Florida. The source of
    which is not being owned up to. There’s no oil/gas drilling in the area.
    And, until about a year ago, most such leaks might go totally unnoticed. Read
    the Bloomberg article No
    One is Owning Up to Releasing Cloud of Methane in Florida
    .
    Oil Flaring at Night in North America (Bakken)

    First Methane. The largest component of natural gas (NatGas) is methane (EIA).
    Various oil formations of fossil fuels are oil, mostly gas, or a combination.
    Even in coal formations there is methane, which has made coal mining especially
    dangerous for explosions and fires.
    When you see the flame stacks burning above oil wells and
    refineries, this is natural gas being flared off. Flaring is far preferred then
    just releasing it, venting, because methane is a wicked greenhouse gas (GHG) at
    82 times the global warming capacity as CO2 in the first 20 years (about 30
    times as potent over 100 years).
    Estimates by industry experts are that as much methane is
    flared (and vented) as used in the USA. If the US consumes about 22% of the
    world’s natural gas (0.8 trillion cubic meters per year of 3.9Tm3 worldwide)
    then it flares/vents the same amount again. The US accounts for twice as much
    NatGas consumption as the entire EU (or Russia). Texas and North Dakota (Permian
    & Bakken) account for 10 to 20 times as much flaring as any other state (Se
    EIA
    2019 report on flaring
    ).
    NatGas is Cleaner than… Because of an abundance of NatGas in the US, and it burns massively cleaner than coal in terms of pollutants (air and ash), the US has made a major shift to NatGas for power generation. NatGas has taken the place of coal in many power plants to represent 38.4% of the the US electrical power generation while the other categories are almost on parity with coal (23.5%), nuclear (19.7%) and renewables (17.9%).  NatGas was believed to have only half the greenhouse gas impact as coal as well. But, when all things are considered, this big advantage of NatGas has evaporated into thin air (vented and flared)!. And methane has soared to all time highs, even during the pandemic slowdown. More people, and more people eating higher on the food chain (cows) is a massive methane producer as well. Now the arctic heat wave(s) are starting to thaw permafrost where huge amounts of methane are sequestered. Ouch! 
    Here’s a great visualization from NASA related to sources of methane and other greenhouse gasses. 
    Value
    of NatGas
    ? You ask the wise questions, “Isn’t NatGas valuable? Why would
    any sane person or company, flare it into thin air?” First answer is, No.
    NatGas is not valuable unless you can transport it easily to where it could be processes
    (remove impurities) and consumed. For NatGas, a gas pipeline is pretty much the
    only option. Once NatGas reaches a refinery it can be processed into a liquid form (LNG) and even into gasoline or diesel.  Oil is easier to transport via oil tankers (truck or train or
    barge) or via pipelines. So, in the cases of wet gas, the oil (and other
    particulates) can be pumped and profitably sold if the gas can be flared away. In
    this case, NatGas is a byproduct of oil production. In many cases it cost more
    to try to distribute and process the NatGas then the market value once it
    reaches a distribution center and can be sold.
    The government, Federal and/or State,  could and should regulate flaring. In Texas, the
    railroad authority regulates flaring, and they have never refused a flaring request, even
    when a pipeline is readily available. In Russia and Nigeria, 95% of all NatGas
    has to be recovered, not flared. But the influence (and corruption) in the
    extractive industries results in a free pass for friends and family, and only selective enforcement.
    From space, you can now get beautiful nighttime pictures of
    flaring around the world. Check out
    Geology.com
    . Wow! But couldn’t a company can simply vent the methane and,
    although far worse in every way, it might go undetected? Actually, not so much
    any more. Newer satellite imagery can detect the methane in the atmosphere and
    methane plumes from natural (swamps) and unnatural sources. This brings us back
    to Florida.
    Bluefield
    Technologies Inc.
     analyzes data from the European Space Agency’s Sentinel-5P satellite. See image showing more than 300 metric tons of methane released near Gainesville and spreading through Jacksonville area. 
    There are only a couple possibly leak sources of such a massive amount of methane (or NatGas). No one has owned up to it. No one seems to be busy trying to find the source. This might be a common practice for pipelines or power plants? Even if there are no fines, it would be good to know. Don’t ya know?
    #CleanEnergy #NatGas #Flaring #Fracking #Methane

  • Solar Investment is Crazy Profitable for Businesses and Good for Homeowners

    [Update. The Inflation Reduction Act 2022 has raised and extended the 30% investment tax credit to qualified investments. There are many limitations and additions. See our Blog post here. This makes all the financial discussions below much more profitable. Also, higher inflation and higher power inflation. The below Article was originally published in Summer of 2020.]
     
    SBP has done several detailed financial calculators for analyzing both residential and commercials solar projects. SustainZine has a main web page on Solar Profitability where
    we discuss examples from our Solar Profitability Calculators: https://www.sustainzine.com/p/solarinvest.html
    Here are articles – and YouTube videos – discussing
    both:
    1. Quick Take on 
      Residential Solar
      Solar
      Invest 2020: Do Good and Save Money Too
      … See the video related to
      Residential here:
      Solar Residential: Good Investment & Doing Good
    2. Full Financial AnalysisSolarInvest2020:
      Residential Solar is Good, but Commercial Solar can be Crazy Profitable!

      See the video related to Commercial/Business here:
      Solar for a Business can be Crazy Profitable: Do
      Good by Doing Well
    YouTube Video on Residential: Solar Residential: Good Investment & Doing Good https://youtu.be/p0pqg4ZeTjY
    Dr Elmer Hall talks about the doing good and making money at
    residential Solar. He discusses that subtilties of the financial analysis for a
    homeowner, and why it typically is a far better decision than a typical profit
    analysis would suggest. #SustainZine #Solar #RenewableEnergy #SBPLan
    YouTube Video on Commercial Business: Solar for a
    Business can be Crazy Profitable: Do Good by Doing Well 
    https://youtu.be/ulryBkhsKWg

    Dr Elmer Hall talks
    about the doing good and making money by a business installing Solar. He
    discusses the financial analysis for a business and why it probably is such a
    great investment. The investment for businesses has huge tax savings. Plus, the
    money to pay for power to operate the business is already committed if the
    building is used. This is Part 2: See part 1 related to Residential as well.
    #SustainZine #Solar #RenewableEnergy #SBPLan #Profitability #CrazyProfitable