Blog

  • Solar-Fit Radio Show: Gallagher and Hall Talk Home is Castle and Solar Fitness

    Elmer Hall on Solar-Fit Radio

    Solar-Fit Renewable Energy Radio Show. June 20, 2020, Live at 10am ET.
    Bill Gallagher, President/CEO of Solar-Fit (and world renown talk-show host) is interviewing Dr Elmer Hall (Strategic Business Planning Company). We’re talking about Perpetual Innovation(tm), Hall and Hinkelman’s book series on intellectual property (Patents) Commercialization. Then talking about about the COVID abnormal (and new-abnormal). And lastly move on to talk about renewable energy as people spend more time in their Castle (living, working, safe-distancing). What does this movement to update and improve the castle mean for Solar???…


    Listen to the archive of this show on Flagler Broadcasting: Dr Elmer Hall on Solar-Fit Rewanable Energy Show June 20 2020.



    Note that SustainZine has pages devoted to the Financial Analysis of Solar System Purchases (both Residential and Commercial). Residential is a good investment; Commercial can be crazy profitable!


    Here is a long SustainZine article from a May 2018 radio show related to Energy Efficiency and Telework.
    (Remember that the Renewable Investment Tax Credit was 30%, then dropped down to 26% in 2020 and will continue with a very rapid phase out over the next couple years.)


    #Solar-Fit #SustainZine #Solar #RenewableEnergy #EnergyEfficiency
    Here is the Solar-Fit radio show station:Solar-Fit Renewable Energy Radio Show
    (We’ll let you know as soon as this show is archived for your redo, review, renew!)
  • IntellZine: Big winners of Renewable Energy — IP and Manufacturing

    Here is a June 7 2020 post over on IntellZine, our Intellectual Property-centric bog. The blog post was about Renewable Energy patents an how much they have expanded, especially solar IP.

    Here is the Big winners of Renewable Energy: IP and Manufacturing article.

    As you look at the companies that are winners in Renewable Energy (RE) you have distinct winners (and losers, especially in the fossil fuel world). But there are entire countries that stand to win as well. Several countries have become exporters of energy, for example, when they produce more regional energy than they can use. I like the image set related to 25 areas/countries that are winners in Renewable Energy (at LoveMoney.com, The world’s greenest nations that are reaping the rewards). Here’s Love/Money’s take on China, both in terms of the technology (Intellectual Property) and the manufacturing/exporting:
    Of all patents for renewable energy issued globally, as of 2016 China has 29%. That’s more than 150,000 patents, which underlines the focus of China’s investment in the industry. So it’s not a shock that the country has been dubbed a “renewable energy superpower” in a recent report issued by the Global Commission on the Geopolitics of Energy Transformation. The report argued that, as renewables come to fossil fuels globally, new energy leaders will emerge.
    The US had only 100,000 patents (vs 150,000 for China) and Europe had 75,000 in renewables according to the Forbesanalysis in Jan 2019.  Overall, patents in renewables has made impressive progress, even though RE patents are only 1% of all patents (and other high-tech categories like computers are about 6%). Check out the great article at the World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) on RenewableEnergy patents by James Nurton. More than half of the RE patents through the Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT) are in solar. Fuel Cell technology has consistently exceeded Wind in terms of patents. Fuel Cell (using hydrogen) is important because it can function as battery, battery backup, stationary power and portable power. Geothermal is trivial are of RE patent activity. When the RE “international” patents (PCTs) are registered at the national level the first three countries are: Japan, USA, and Germany.
    On the manufacturing/exporting side, China has been a huge producer of the world’s renewables (solar, wind and more). Here’s how LoveMoneysummarized Chinese production of RE:
     “China is currently the world’s largest exporter of solar panels, wind turbines, batteries and electric vehicles. The country is well-suited to wind power production, and it has an estimated potential capacity of 2,380 gigawatts. What’s more, many Chinese companies are investing in renewables.”
    Keep in mind that many things sustainable are lower tech, not higher tech. Much, if not most of sustainable solutions does not require break-through solutions. Using less energy can be very low tech (turning the lights out when out). Driving less (by telework) can be no tech. But in the cases where leading tech can be a major competitive advantage, he owners of IP will win.
    Look also at GlobalTrends in Renewable Energy Investment in 2019 by UN Environment Program and Bloomberg. Where is RE coming from? The investment from 2010 through 2019 has been $2.6T with 52% in Solar and $41% in Wind.
    And the final question: how do we get to 100% renewable energy in a reasonably short period of time?
    #RenewableEnergy #REPatents #IntellectualProperty #IntellZine #SustainZine #WIPO #Sustainability #PCT #REInvestment #Solar #Wind #RE100
  • Big winners of Renewable Energy: IP and Manufacturing

    Renewable Energy Patents in 2019

    As you look at the companies
    that are winners in Renewable Energy (RE) you have distinct winners (and
    losers, especially in the fossil fuel world). But there are entire countries
    that stand to win as well. Several countries have become exporters of energy,
    for example, when they produce more regional energy than they can use. I like
    the image set related to 25 areas/countries that are winners in Renewable
    Energy (at
    LoveMoney.com,
    The world’s greenest nations that are reaping the rewards
    ). Here’s Love/Money’s
    take on China, both in terms of the technology (Intellectual Property) and the
    manufacturing/exporting:

    Of all patents for renewable energy issued globally, as of 2016 China
    has 29%. That’s more than 150,000 patents, which underlines the focus of
    China’s investment in the industry. So it’s not a shock that the country
    has been dubbed a “renewable energy superpower” in a recent report issued
    by the Global Commission on the Geopolitics of Energy Transformation. The
    report argued that, as renewables come to fossil fuels globally, new energy
    leaders will emerge
    .
    The US had only 100,000
    patents (vs 150,000 for China) and Europe had 75,000 in renewables according to
    the Forbesanalysis in Jan 2019.  Overall,
    patents in renewables has made impressive progress, even though RE patents are
    only 1% of all patents (and other high-tech categories like computers are about
    6%). Check out the great article at the World Intellectual Property
    Organization (WIPO) on RenewableEnergy patents by James Nurton. More than half of the RE patents through
    the Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT) are in solar. Fuel Cell technology has
    consistently exceeded Wind in terms of patents. Fuel Cell (using hydrogen) is
    important because it can function as battery, battery backup, stationary power
    and portable power. Geothermal is trivial are of RE patent activity. When the
    RE “international” patents (PCTs) are registered at the national level the
    first three countries are: Japan, USA, and Germany.
    On the
    manufacturing/exporting side, China has been a huge producer of the world’s
    renewables (solar, wind and more). Here’s how LoveMoneysummarized Chinese production of RE:
     China
    is currently the world’s largest exporter of solar panels, wind turbines,
    batteries and electric vehicles. The country is well-suited to wind power
    production, and it has an estimated potential capacity of 2,380 gigawatts.
    What’s more, many Chinese companies are investing in renewables
    .”
    Keep in mind that many things sustainable are lower tech,
    not higher tech. Much, if not most of sustainable solutions does not require
    break-through solutions. Using less energy can be very low tech (turning the
    lights out when out). Driving less (by telework) can be no tech. But in the cases
    where leading tech can be a major competitive advantage, he owners of IP will
    win.
    Look also at GlobalTrends in Renewable Energy Investment in 2019 by UN Environment Program and
    Bloomberg. Where is RE coming from? The investment from 2010 through 2019 has
    been $2.6T with 52% in Solar and $41% in Wind.
    And the final question: how do we get to 100% renewable
    energy in a reasonably short period of time?
    #RenewableEnergy #REPatents #IntellectualProperty
    #IntellZine #SustainZine #WIPO #Sustainability #PCT #REInvestment #Solar #Wind
    #RE100

  • Video on Oil: Supply, Demand, Contango, Sustainability, Future

    Elmer Hall produced a video June 1 2020 related to the Oil Contago in April of 2020: Conundrum Of Oil Contango: Supply n Demand, Sustainability and the Future.

    Much like a race with a distinct start and finish, you can look at oil and the future the same way. Although it might take a little longer than 20+ minutes, and not have a definitive finish-line, the oil play has a future that can not be good for the oil producers. By definition, things that are non-sustainable must end — sooner or later. Gracefully or ungracefully. Elmer Hall does a video about oil. The tragic shutdown of economies has also produced a magical moment for people to observe what the air (and water) might look like if we stopped burning coal and oil. Clean air for cities across the world; for some people, the first time in their life when the air was safely breathable.
    So what did the shutdown do for oil demand, and consequently for the oil supply and demand? Oil, at 100M Barrels per day represents about 4.4% (or $4.5T) of the worlds 2019 GDP. With the collapse of demand and price, that represents only about $1T.
    But the true cost of oil and coal is massively higher than we pay at the meter or the pump. This video discusses the likelihood that things will be different post-COVID. The genie is out of the bottle related to telework; workers who can work remotely will not want to go back to grid traffic commutes. People who have breathed clean air will not want to go back to smog and air quality warnings.
    The Oil contango in the 3rd week of April was a once-in-a-lifetime event where owners of the futures contract (in May) would have to take possession of the oil at the close of the contract that week. But, with the world swimming in oil, there was no place to put the oil. So owners who had to get out of the contract — and no place to store it if they kept the contract — were willing to PAY buyers to take the oil. At the worst point they were willing to pay almost $40 per barrel for anyone who would take the oil off of their hands. The price went from about $60pb in 2019 to a low of -$37 in April 2020.

  • Efficient Infringement 2: Which is Bigger Toll? EI or Patent Troll?

    In
    Part 1 on February 13, “
    Inequality
    finds a place in IP where Efficient Infringement Runs Wild
    ,”
    we emphasized the David vs Goliath nature of patent holding startups trying to
    get justice against a mega-tech infringer. 
    Infringement is somehow legally transformed because it is efficient – an
    odd attempt at rationalizing an illegal action. (Note the new location of our
    IP Zine and all past blog posts are at
    www.IntellZine.com.) 
    Well, just as we acknowledge that, “hope springs
    eternal,” as Apple’s appeal in an infringement case was rejected (Bloomberg/LA
    Times, Feb 24, 2020).  The US Supreme
    Court refused to consider the tech giant’s attempt to avoid paying upwards of
    $1B in patent damages to VirnetX Holding Company, a Nevada company with less
    than $2M in annual revenue.  VirnetX
    somehow managed to tough it out for a decade trying to get Apple to pay
    royalties on patents for secure communications technology.
    Of
    the long list of things to fix in IP law, efficient infringment is certainly
    one of them.  Somehow, infringement cases
    must be settled far more rapidly than today’s decade long slogging through the
    mud.  The market disappears in ten years,
    there is no longer revenue available to fight over.
    From The LA Times, “The high court denied Apple’s
    petition arguing that a $439-million judgement from the first of two cases
    brought by VirnetX was ‘grossly excessive’ and should be thrown out… A second
    case not currently before the high court, resulted in a $503-million verdict
    over the same patents and newer Apple products.” (
    https://www.latimes.com/business/technology/story/2020-02-24/apple-rebuffed-supreme-court-billion-facetime-patent)  
    This ruling was nearly one month after a federal jury
    in Los Angeles ruled that Apple and Broadcom must pay $1.1B in damages to
    Caltech for infringing on WiFi patents.  That’s
    right, California Institute of Technology (
    http://www.caltech.edu/),
    the university in Pasadena California! What’s a school gonna do with patent
    technology anyway? Apple was ordered to pay $837M, Broadcom Inc $270.2M.  “It’s the biggest jury verdict of any kind so
    far in 2020 and the sixth largest patent verdict of all time, according to
    Bloomberg data.” (
    https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2020-01-29/caltech-wins-a-1-1-billion-jury-verdict-against-apple-and-broadcom)
    Apple’s strategy is based on maintaining the Company’s high profit margin which
    demands fighting for years in various courts. 
    Does “efficient infringement” ring a bell here?  (The $838M won by Caltech is about one day of
    sales and 1.5% of the company’s $55.3B net profit in 2019.)
    Apple and Broadcom lose Caltech infringement case
    But wait, there’s more. Apple’s appeal to the US
    Supreme Court did not go well for Apple. On March 13, 2020, the US Supreme
    Court rejected the opportunity to review the case (originating in Texas, of
    course). The final settlement that Apple agreed to pay was $454M to VirnetX.  Now down to about half a day of sales and
    0.8% of the company’s net profit in 2019. Roughly $1 for each of the 400M
    devices that VirnetX claims patent infringement. (See
    here
    for one discussion of case-closed.)
    So, Apple argues, essentially, “efficient infringement”,
    which we will return to in a second. But VirnetX has been ungraciously referred
    to as a Patent Troll, a Nevada corporation operating out of a Troll Hole in
    Texas. Here’s an example of articles during the decade by Zack Epstein in the
    NY Post:
    https://nypost.com/2018/04/11/apple-ordered-to-pay-half-a-billion-dollars-in-damages-to-patent-troll/
    Patent
    Trolls
    . The more derogatory term, but sometimes more
    accurate, is patent troll; other
    related terms are patent holding company
    (PHC), patent assertion entity (PAE),
    and non-practicing entity (NPE).
    Wikipedia has a good, but not especially strong, page on
    Patent Trolls.
    The advantage of going back to Wikipedia is that it is dynamic and usually is
    updated perpetually by people. This Apple case is in the article, but not
    updated for 2020. Anyone can update, so please consider going and improving the
    article.
    There is the dilemma to choose between the lesser of
    two evils: the
    toll
    of the patent troll
    or the stealth of efficient infringement.  It
    is hard to support VinnetX, and the tolls of patent trolls.  Our values state that deliberate attempts to
    extort money on less-than-honorable pretenses cannot be condoned.  We have
    several
    blogs posts about Patent Troll
    and their negative
    impact on innovation and economic productivity. 
    On the other hand, efficient
    infringement
    is the result of a deliberate – with malice of foresight –
    corporate strategy.  It is callous and
    predatory.  It is practiced by companies
    that are unquestioned technical powers and have major share in their
    markets.  They have uncommon market power
    and use it with against rivals.  In
    particular, these companies prey on start-up entrepreneurs if their new
    technology is a threat or an opportunity.
    Neither party is honorable in any way, but the greater
    of the evils is efficient infringement. 
    It would be a more positive impact on innovation if efficient
    infringement became too expensive by way of damages to risk continued
    practices.  The courts need to look just
    at the question of infringement and the issue of market power to make this
    call.
    These efficient infringement courtroom dramas go on
    and on, and on and on. A decade in this case. 
    Get the picture?  As one of
    several high-tech giants that are apparently doing the same, Apple doesn’t
    anticipate any significant downside. 
    When served a rare injunction, it just moves up the justice stepladder
    until, if necessary, it reaches the summit. 
    To be sure, The Supreme Court’s refusal to hear its appeal must have
    come as a shock.  But, will this change
    behavior?  Not likely.
    Here is another way to cast a harsh spotlight on
    efficient infringement.  The House of
    Representatives should hold hearings when these cases like these reach the
    public eye.  The CEO of the infringing
    company must be subpoenaed to testify whether or not efficient infringement is an accepted corporate policy; does the
    company’s board and CEO approve infringement and willingly will pay damages,
    eventually.  Today, a CEO can hide behind
    legions of lawyers. Being forced to testify in person just might, might change
    strategy.  In addition, Congress should
    make egregious efficient infringement a
    felony, Grand Theft – Intellectual Property punishable by 5-7 years in prison
    and forfeiture of revenues and fines for the key decision maker(s): Chair, CEO
    and CFO.  When enforced, efficient infringement will become a
    relic of a lesser past.
    Here is an afterthought. It is obvious that corporate
    lobbying and campaign contributions have removed any possibility of
    Congressional action to strongly deal with infringement today.  As the economy reopens, many things will
    change.  It would very much benefit the
    entrepreneur if the legal system enforced IP laws to protect the new technology
    inventions we will need.
    #Patents #EfficientInfringement #Infringement
    #PatentTroll #Apple #PAE #NPE